Fantasy Football Player Notes

Mike Evans ranked as the WR4 Iin 2023, totaling 239.3 points (14.4 per game, WR8). He caught 76 passes for 1,233 yards and 13 touchdowns, displaying his scoring prowess with a long catch of 75 yards. He re-signed a two-year deal with the Buccaneers, keeping his talents in Tampa Bay.

Rachaad White was Leonard Fournette 2.0 for Tampa Bay last season. An inefficient rusher whose pass game role and every down snap share vaults them to RB1 land. Last year, White was the RB10 in fantasy, ranking fourth in snap share, seventh in opportunity share, and fourth in weighted opportunities. He also ranked top-ten in carries (second), targets (ninth), and red zone touches (ninth). White didn't do nearly as much with that volume as we'd hoped. Among 49 qualifying backs, White ranked 42nd in missed tackles forced per attempt, 40th in explosive run rate, and 45th in yards after contact per attempt (per Fantasy Points Data). While he was eighth in overall target volume among running backs, he was only 43rd in targets per route run and 18th in yards per route run. White could easily roll back into 2024 as the Bucs do it all back, but don't be surprised if the team drafts a running back to help him shoulder the load.

Unlike Mike Evans, Godwin did not experience the same type of resurgence with Baker Mayfield at QB. At least when it comes to scoring fantasy points. Godwin led the Buccaneers with 91 catches for 1,1109 receiving yards, but he only caught 3 TDs...in 19 games played. Meanwhile, Evans totaled 14. His target share (23%) was nearly identical to Evans (25%). But it was the lack of high-value opportunities that nuked Godwin in fantasy football. As a result, he finished with under 10 fantasy points per game (outside top-36 WRs). No player scored fewer TDs with more receiving yards than Godwin. Based on his usage he should be closer to a total of double-digit scores versus the 3 TDs he has the past two years. Still, at 28 years old, Godwin could be in for a major bounce back if Evans leaves Tampa Bay in free agency.

Jalen McMillan showcased significant potential at Washington, breaking out in his second season with a 19% dominator rating and further elevating his performance in 2022 to achieve 1,098 receiving yards and 9 TDs, leading to a 25% dominator rating. His success came despite sharing targets with future NFL prospects Rome Odunze and Ja'Lynn Polk, where he led the Huskies in targets and receptions that year. However, his role diminished in the following season due to injuries and a reduced downfield role in Washington's vertical offense, limiting his production. Despite these challenges, McMillan's early breakout and strong route-running skills, particularly from the slot where he played over 89% of snaps in the last two seasons, highlight his readiness for the NFL. Drafted by the Buccaneers in the third round, he has a clear path to becoming the WR3 this season and potentially WR2 by 2025, especially in a team that could leverage his abilities in the slot.