Fantasy Football Player Notes
2024 Half PPR Draft Rankings
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1.
CeeDee Lamb
DAL (vs . WAS)
CeeDee Lamb emerged as a top fantasy WR in 2023, finishing as the top WR in half-PPR formats with 335 fantasy points and averaging 19.7 points per game. He hauled in 135 receptions for over 1,700 yards and 14 total touchdowns. Lamb's dominance extended to red-zone targets, a key predictor of elite WR1 fantasy seasons, but regression may be expected in 2024 due to Dallas's red-zone usage and pass-to-rush TD ratio trends. The Cowboys had a negative RZ pass rate over expectation in 2023. Over the last 12 seasons, no WR that has led the league in red-zone targets has finished higher than WR3 the following season.
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2.
Tyreek Hill
MIA (at NYJ)
Tyreek Hill had a stellar fantasy season, finishing second overall among WRs with nearly 300 fantasy points and averaging just shy of 20 points per game. He showcased his deep-threat ability with over 1,700 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, averaging a league-leading 3.72 yards per route run. Despite turning 30, Hill's performance suggests he's still at the top of his game.
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3.
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN (at PIT)
Ja'Marr Chase emerges as the cornerstone of the Bengals offense in 2024, coming off a stellar season with 100 receptions and over 1,200 yards. Despite finishing as the WR13 in 2023, his true potential shone with Joe Burrow, averaging 16.2 points per game and ranking as the WR6 from Weeks 1-10. With his consistent red zone presence, leading the NFL in red zone targets per game over the last two seasons, Chase is poised for WR1 status, a position historically correlated with dominating red zone opportunities.
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4.
Justin Jefferson
MIN (at DET)
Justin Jefferson showcased his elite talent in 2023, finishing 5th in points per game despite missing seven games and losing starting QB Kirk Cousins. With 68 receptions for over 1,000 yards and 5 touchdowns, he commanded a 28% target share and excelled even without Cousins on the field, averaging 18.4 points per game in the final stretch. Before Cousins' injury, he led all WRs in fantasy points scored (21.7 per game). Heading into 2024, Jefferson's ability to thrive regardless of the quarterback situation positions him as one of the NFL's top receivers, supported by the offensive infrastructure set up by Kevin O'Connell.
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5.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET (vs . MIN)
Amon-Ra St. Brown had a standout season, finishing third among WRs with 247.5 fantasy points and averaging 16.5 points per game. He showcased his reliability with 112 receptions for 1,371 yards and 9 touchdowns, earning a 12.2 yards per reception average. St. Brown commanded a 30% target share and 34% air yards share. His impressive performance earned him a lucrative 4-year, $120 million contract extension, making him the highest paid WR in the NFL at the time.
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6.
A.J. Brown
PHI (vs . NYG)
A.J. Brown had a solid season, ranking fifth among WRs with an average of 14.8 points per game. He showcased his big-play ability with 105 receptions for over 1,400 yards and 7 touchdowns. However, he struggled towards the end of the season (out-scored by DeVonta Smith after Week 11) coinciding with the Eagles' late-season collapse. With changes in the coaching staff, including the hiring of Kellen Moore, there's uncertainty about Brown's production in 2024 if the team continues to struggle.
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7.
Garrett Wilson
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Garrett Wilson's 2023 season saw impressive peripheral metrics despite lackluster QB play. He tallied 95 receptions from 168 targets for 1,042 yards but only managed three touchdowns. With a 30% target share and a league-leading 46% air yards share, Wilson showcased his potential. If the Jets' quarterback situation stabilizes in 2024, Wilson's fantasy ceiling could soar even higher.
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8.
Puka Nacua
LAR (vs . SEA)
Puka Nacua is so clearly the alpha in the Rams passing game. 9 catches for 181 yards and 2 TDs on 10 targets (29%) with 100 yards coming after the catch in his final game of his rookie season, capped off a historic rookie campaign that saw him break the receptions and receiving yards records for a first-year player. In his 18 games played, Nacua posted a 29% target share and 15.3 points per game (4th among all WRs). First in yards after the catch, 3rd in receiving EPA and 14th in weighted opportunity.
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9.
Davante Adams
LV (vs . LAC)
Davante Adams continued to shine in Las Vegas despite quarterback changes, boasting a 45% air yards share and a league-leading 33% target share. With 103 receptions on 175 targets, he amassed over 1,100 yards and secured 8 touchdowns, showcasing his red-zone prowess with the second-most targets in the NFL. Despite turning 31, Adams remains a reliable fantasy WR2, displaying his QB-proof consistency.
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10.
Brandon Aiyuk
SF (at ARI)
Brandon Aiyuk emerged as the primary receiver for the 49ers in 2023, accumulating nearly 1,500 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns in 19 games. Despite a modest role in the red zone, he commanded a 24% target share and ranked 15th in air yards share. Aiyuk's efficiency was notable, finishing as a top-5 performer in yards per route run. Entering a contract year at age 26, he may still have untapped potential after back-to-back top-15 WR finishes in half-PPR formats.
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11.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
ARI (vs . SF)
Marvin Harrison Jr. quickly ascended at Ohio State, transitioning from a freshman backup behind stars like Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson to a dominant force by his sophomore year. His breakout game came in his first start during the Rose Bowl, where he tallied 6 catches, 71 yards, and 3 touchdowns. Harrison's junior year was stellar, amassing 67 receptions for 1,211 yards and 14 TDs, which led to him being a Heisman Trophy finalist and winning the 2023 Fred Biletnikoff Award. Now as the Arizona Cardinals' WR1 with Kyler Murray throwing to him, Harrison is positioned to be a high-impact player, offering a strong, consistent target share. His collegiate performance, highlighted by a 44% dominator rating, underscores his capability as a top-tier fantasy wide receiver.
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12.
Chris Olave
NO (at TB)
Chris Olave showcased impressive usage metrics, commanding a 25% target share and a 40% air yards share, highlighting his integral role in the Saints' offense. Despite tallying 87 receptions for over 1,100 yards and 5 touchdowns, he's often perceived as a fantasy WR2. With Derek Carr returning at QB, there's hope for continued improvement, especially given their improved chemistry in the latter part of the season. Olave ranked second in catchable target rate (89%) post bye week.
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13.
Mike Evans
TB (vs . NO)
Mike Evans ranked as the WR4 in 2023, totaling 239.3 points (14.4 per game, WR8). He caught 76 passes for 1,233 yards and 13 touchdowns. He re-signed a two-year deal with the Buccaneers, keeping his talents in Tampa Bay. He will be 31 in August.
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14.
Drake London
ATL (vs . CAR)
Drake London's 2023 usage was notable, commanding a 23% target share and 31% air yards share, but his lack of touchdowns limited his fantasy impact, finishing as the WR39 overall. Until the Falcons improve their quarterback situation, London's fantasy value may remain capped. However, with the potential for improved QB play, London's rising ADP suggests fantasy managers are banking on a breakout.
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15.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
SF (at ARI)
Deebo Samuel ranked as the WR12 overall despite playing 15 games. Notably, he scored the second-most total touchdowns (12) with his dual role as a rusher and receiver. Samuel also led all wide receivers in total red-zone touches. However, his injury history raises concerns due to his physical playing style. Additionally, there's potential for TD regression given his performance exceeded expectations in the previous season, ranking as WR26 in expected points per game (10.9). Moreover, relying on rushing production can be unpredictable year-to-year, and the emergence of Brandon Aiyuk further complicates Samuel's outlook as he enters a contract year.
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16.
Michael Pittman Jr.
IND (vs . JAC)
Michael Pittman Jr. showcased his alpha status in the Colts' offense, tallying 109 receptions for over 1,100 yards on 156 targets in 16 games, averaging 12.2 fantasy points per game. Despite limited touchdown production, Pittman Jr. commanded a 33% air yards share and a 30% target share, boasting a high floor. With potential for improved touchdown variance in 2024, especially if Anthony Richardson elevates the offense, Pittman Jr. stands to benefit. The addition of Adonai Mitchell in the draft could enhance the overall offensive output without significantly impacting Pittman's target share.
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17.
DJ Moore
CHI (at GB)
D.J. Moore was excellent in his debut season in Chicago, finishing as the WR6 averaging 14.0 points/game. He showcased his dominance with a 43% air yards share and a top-10 target share at 29%. Moore's rapport with quarterback Justin Fields yielded high-end WR1 production, averaging 16.8 points per game over 12 games. However, with Fields replaced by rookie Caleb Williams and the addition of WR Keenan Allen and rookie Rome Odunze, Moore's fantasy upside in 2024 may face challenges.
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18.
Nico Collins
HOU (at TEN)
Nico Collins had a breakout season in his third year with the Texans, propelled by his partnership with quarterback C.J. Stroud. He showcased remarkable yards after catch ability, amassing nearly 1,500 receiving yards with 1,370 air yards, and a significant portion of his yards came after the catch. Collins boasted a 24% target share and ranked second among all WRs with 3.11 yards per route run, a feat achieved by only a select few players since 2017. Despite the potential arrival of Stefon Diggs impacting his target share, Collins' efficiency should remain high with another threat on the field to divert defensive attention.
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19.
Jaylen Waddle
MIA (at NYJ)
Jaylen Waddle faces a different fantasy draft landscape in 2024, likely drafted later due to a less impressive previous season as the WR34 overall and WR24 in points per game. Despite recording over 1,000 receiving yards in 14 games, his scoring was limited to four touchdowns. However, his 24% target share and improved efficiency metrics indicate potential for a bounce-back season. Considered a buy-low candidate, Waddle's draft position might not reflect his true value.
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20.
DK Metcalf
SEA (at LAR)
D.K. Metcalf finished 2023 with 66 receptions on 119 targets (23% target share), accumulating 1,114 yards and over 1,500 air yards (40% air yards share, 14th), as the WR16 overall. He demonstrated his big-play capability with 37 receptions of 20+ yards (10th) and finished 20th in points per game (12.0). Metcalf scored 8 touchdowns with the 5th-most end-zone targets (15). He missed the first game of his NFL career in 2023. He's an Iron Man and a staple of consistency as high-end fantasy WR2.
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21.
Stefon Diggs
HOU (at TEN)
Stefon Diggs faced a challenging 2023 season, finishing as WR10 overall but averaging just 13 points per game, landing him as WR15 in half-point scoring. His performance waned significantly from Week 10 onwards, averaging a mere 7.3 points and 42 receiving yards per game. Despite maintaining a near 30% target share and accumulating over 1,800 air yards for the season, Diggs struggled to deliver consistent fantasy production. With uncertainty surrounding his role in the Texans' offense and competition from Tank Dell and Nico Collins, fantasy managers may approach Diggs with caution entering his age 31 season.
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22.
DeVonta Smith
PHI (vs . NYG)
DeVonta Smith has showcased his ability to thrive in the absence of key teammates like A.J. Brown or Dallas Goedert over the past two seasons. During Weeks 11-18 this season, he ranked as WR16, averaging 13.6 points per game, demonstrating backend fantasy WR1 potential. However, prior to Week 11, he was WR25 overall with 10.9 points per game. Smith's talent is evident, but for him to reach fantasy WR1 status, others in the Eagles passing game may need to scale back their production. Overall, he finished the year 20th in points per game (12.2) with a 24% target share.
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23.
Cooper Kupp
LAR (vs . SEA)
Many will point to the injuries Cooper Kupp has dealt with throughout the season, as a reason to be concerned about him moving forward. He hasn't looked like himself all season and he will be 31 in 2024. He's missed an average of six games over the last two seasons.
A lot of his production was salvaged by his 5 receiving TDs. Posted a career-low yards per route run (1.77). Kupp was WR27 in points per game in 2023 despite a 26% target share. |
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24.
Amari Cooper
CLE (at BAL)
Amari Cooper's season-long stats were notable despite shifting quarterbacks, ranking 10th in yards (1,250) and second in 20-yard gains (42). His 41% air yards share also ranked 10th in the league. While he finished 17th in points/game (12.7) as the WR18 overall through 17 games, his performance with Deshaun Watson as QB offers promise. During these five games, he maintained a 23% target share, 42% air yards share, averaging nearly 100 receiving yards/game. His fantasy output was also strong, averaging 14.8 points per game (6th) and 15.7 expected points per game (15th). Even with Jerry Jeudy's addition, Cooper remains the WR1 for the Browns.
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25.
Tee Higgins
CIN (at PIT)
Tee Higgins' 2023 season was marred by injuries, limiting him to just 12 games. Despite this, he showcased his big-play ability with an impressive 15.6 yards per reception, 14 receptions of 20+ yards and 4 games with 20-plus points scored. His 37% air yards share highlighted his importance in the Bengals' downfield passing game. While his fantasy production suffered due to injuries, his command of air yards suggests he remains a dominant receiver, as evidenced by several standout performances. Buy the discount in a contract year.
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26.
Malik Nabers
NYG (at PHI)
While we might have worries about the landing spot, there are two undeniable facts here. Nabers is a stone-cold baller, and he will vacuum up all the targets he can handle in 2024. During his final year at LSU, Nabers ranked third in YPRR, first in PFF receiving grade, and fourth in missed tackles forced. Nabers is the clear WR1 for New York this season, and it's not particularly close. No Giants wide receiver managed over a 16.9% target share last year, so there's no one standing in Nabers' way of soaking up a 23-25% target share in his rookie season. The Giants threw the ball 518 times last year. If Nabers can earn a 25% target share and the Giants don't pass any more than they did last season, he will theoretically see 130 targets. That would have been tied for 19th in targets among wide receivers last season. I'm willing to invest in Nabers' talent, and I'm just praying that we get at least league-average quarterback play from Daniel Jones and company this season.
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27.
Zay Flowers
BAL (vs . CLE)
Flowers had his moments as a rookie. While he didn't live up to the preseason hype, it wasn't a dreadful rookie showing by any stretch, especially after Mark Andrews was out. Without Andrews, Flowers saw his first read share increase to 30.7%, and his FD/RR rate increased ever so slightly from 0.081 to 0.085. Flowers, during that stretch (eight games), earned six end zone targets, which was awesome compared to the single end zone target he saw in Weeks 1-10. With Odell Beckham Jr. gone in 2024, the Baltimore passing attack will further consolidate around Flowers and Andrews.
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28.
Keenan Allen
CHI (at GB)
Keenan Allen had a stellar 2023 season, ranking third in points per game and finishing as the WR8 overall, thanks in large part to his impressive 31% target share. Despite turning 32 in 2024, he displayed no signs of slowing down with Justin Herbert. However, his trade to the Bears presents new challenges, particularly with a downgrade in rookie QB play and stiff competition for targets from players like Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore. This shift in situation, coupled with Allen's age, raises concerns about his fantasy outlook for the upcoming season.
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29.
George Pickens
PIT (vs . CIN)
George Pickens emerges as the primary beneficiary of the Steelers' offense following Diontae Johnson's departure. Despite competition from rookie third-rounder Roman Wilson, Pickens' consistent growth hints at a potential breakout in his third year. During the first five weeks of the 2023 season with Johnson sidelined, Pickens averaged 12.8 points per game (19th) and nearly 80 yards per game. With Russell Wilson or Justin Fields' vertical threat, Pickens could flourish, as seen in his WR13 performance during Johnson's absence last season. But be wary that the run-heavy nature of an Arthur Smith offense could doom Pickens' breakout.
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30.
Tank Dell
HOU (at TEN)
Yes, Dell now has to contend with Stefon Diggs for targets, too, but we need to put respect on Dell's name and understand that he could still fight for the team lead in targets in 2024. Last year, in the seven full games that Dell and Nico Collins played together, Dell bested him in every meaningful category. Dell led the duo in target share (22.5 vs. 22.1%), air-yard share (35.9 vs. 25.3%), weighted opportunity (59.0 vs. 50.9), and fantasy points per game (18.7 vs. 18.1). Overall last year Dell posted monster numbers in YPRR (2.40) and FD/RR (0.115) ranking 16th and 14th in these statistics. His recovery from a broken fibula will be huge, but if he is still the same guy we saw in 2023, there's plenty of reason to invest heavily in him smashing in 2024.
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31.
Christian Kirk
JAC (at IND)
Kirk will be the Jaguars' WR1 in 2024. He was on his way to a monstrous season before getting derailed by injury. In Weeks 2-12, Krik was the WR19 in fantasy points per game, drawing a 22.6% target share and 30.5% air-yard share, producing 2.31 YPRR and 0.101 FD/RR (per Fantasy Points Data). If he had kept up that pace for the full season, he would have ranked 22nd, 17th, and 22nd in those categories. His full season counting stat pace was 138 targets, 94 receptions, and 1,278 receiving yards. With Calvin Ridley gone, Kirk's biggest competition for targets is Evan Engram. Engram didn't break out last year until Kirk was out, so I doubt Engram is the clear option over Kirk entering 2024. Gabriel Davis is a proven role player, and Brian Thomas Jr. is a rookie who will face growing pains in the NFL. Look for Trevor Lawrence to feed Kirk this year as one of the best values in fantasy drafts.
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32.
Terry McLaurin
WAS (at DAL)
McLaurin is primed for a bounce-back season in 2024. Last year, Sam Howell and his putrid passing sunk McLaurin's season. McLaurin still led the team with a 20.4% target share, a 34.7% air-yard share, 1.64 YPRR, and a 25.4% first-read share. Don't forget that this is the same receiver that ranked 16th in YPRR (2.20) and 19th in FD/RR (0.104) in 2023 (per Fantasy Points Data). That talent didn't suddenly disappear. It was depressed by a quarterback last year that ranked 21st in CPOE and 25th in clean pocket passer rating. Last year, he was the WR34 in fantasy points per game and the WR21 in expected fantasy points per game. With Jayden Daniels under center, McLaurin could return to the WR2 ranks in 2024.
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33.
Calvin Ridley
TEN (vs . HOU)
Calvin Ridley caught 76 passes on 136 targets for 1,016 yards in his lone season as a Jaguar. With nearly 1,800 air yards, he boasted a 22.5% target share and 36% air yards share, finding the end zone 8 times. He ranked as WR17 overall (11.3 points/ game, WR26) positioning him as a low-end WR2 in fantasy. Ridley led the league in end zone targets (24) but fell short of fully capitalizing on his elite opportunities for a fantasy WR1 season. Now with the Titans alongside veterans DeAndre Hopkins and Tyler Boyd, he enters a potentially more pass-centric offense under new head coach Brian Callahan and second-year QB Will Levis, offering opportunities for increased production.
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34.
Jayden Reed
GB (vs . CHI)
Jayden Reed made an impact in his rookie season, as a primary slot receiver for the Packers. Despite not always playing a full-time role, he was heavily targeted, with a 25% target rate per route run and just under 2 yards per route run. Reed led all Packers wide receivers in points/game with 10.6 and ten touchdowns. He finished as a top-12 WR in 33% of his games (12th) and ranked fourth in fantasy points per snap.
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35.
Rashee Rice
KC (at DEN)
We'll see how long Rice is suspended for and where his ADP settles in at, but he is likely a strong value for 2024. Every year, we have to navigate these suspension waters for some players. His ADP could also vary widely from league to league. With that in mind, I'm more likely to take the leap and select Rice in leagues where he slips down the board, or I'm looking to "play catch up some" at wide receiver, depending on how my draft has unfolded. The additions of Xavier Worthy and Hollywood Brown to this passing attack have also muddied the waters for Rice. All of this uncertainty will make drafters wary of pressing the button, but the risk will be built into his ADP. While we can debate all of those factors, we can't debate that Rice is a supremely talented player catching passes from one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL. In Weeks 12-18, Rice ranked 12th in target share (25.2%), 10th in YPRR (2.77) and FD/RR (0.123), and ninth in fantasy points per route run (0.60). Buy the dip.
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36.
Chris Godwin
TB (vs . NO)
Chris Godwin's 2023 season was marked by high volume but low touchdown production, catching only 3 touchdowns despite leading the Buccaneers in receptions and receiving yards. His target share was comparable to Mike Evans', but he struggled to convert opportunities into fantasy points, finishing outside the top-36 wide receivers in fantasy scoring. However, with potential changes in offensive scheme and Evans potentially regressing, Godwin could see a bounce-back year, especially if he returns to a full-time slot role as suggested by new OC Liam Coen.
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37.
Hollywood Brown
KC (at DEN)
Marquise "Hollywood" Brown had a forgettable 2023 season, struggling with inconsistent quarterback play and injuries. Despite posting impressive air yards and target share numbers, he failed to produce consistently, averaging just 7.8 points per game. However, his move to the Chiefs presents a promising opportunity to revive his career alongside Patrick Mahomes. With his speed and playmaking ability, Brown could become a fantasy WR2 in Kansas City's offense, given the potential absence of Rashee Rice.
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38.
DeAndre Hopkins
TEN (vs . HOU)
DeAndre Hopkins maintained his elite status in the 2023 season, securing 75 catches on 137 targets with a 28% target share, accumulating 1,057 receiving yards and showcasing his deep threat ability with 27 receptions of 20+ yards. His 1,934 total air yards led the league among wide receivers. Despite posting WR2 numbers, the addition of Calvin Ridley to the Titans' receiving corps presents a challenge to Hopkins' fantasy value, especially considering Ridley's potential target competition.
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39.
Jordan Addison
MIN (at DET)
Jordan Addison had a solid rookie campaign, recording 70 receptions for 911 yards and 10 touchdowns on a 17% target share. His consistent contributions earned him an average of 11 fantasy points per game, ranking him as WR28 overall. Despite his promising performance, his fantasy outlook for 2024 is clouded by uncertainty at the quarterback position following Kirk Cousins' departure. At least, the absence of T.J. Hockenson due to injury could boost Addison's role in the offense to open the season.
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40.
Diontae Johnson
CAR (at ATL)
Earning volume is a skill. It's a reflection of talent, and few do that better than Johnson year after year. Once he returned from injury in Week 7, he continued to gobble up targets like usual, ranking 14th in target share (23.7%), sixth in air-yard share (41.6%), and 20th in FD/RR (0.109). In that span, he was the WR33 in fantasy points per game. Johnson should have no issues earning similar volume this season in Carolina, flanked by Adam Thielen and Xavier Legette. Look for Bryce Young to pepper his new WR1. Johnson is a WR3/4 that could easily post WR2 production in 2024.
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41.
Rome Odunze
CHI (at GB)
No one should question Odunze's talent. In his final season in college, Odunze ranked 18th in YPRR and 8th in PFF receiving grade. It is fair to wonder about his ability to earn targets in year one, as D.J. Moore and Keenan Allen will flank him. There are reasons to be hopeful for Odunze, though. Unlike Jaxon Smith-Njigba last year, Odunze can still have splash weeks this year because of his ability to stretch the field, as his 15.5 aDOT in 2023 attests, so he can maximize some lost volume with big plays. The volume of this passing attack could surprise us as well, though. In 2021-2023, under new Bears' offensive coordinator Shane Waldron, Seattle ranked seventh in neutral pace and ninth in neutral passing rate. If the passing volume shocks the world and/or Keenan Allen or D.J. Moore misses any time, Odunze could outplay his ADP.
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42.
Courtland Sutton
DEN (vs . KC)
Courtland Sutton's outlook for the upcoming season appears less promising, especially with a rookie QB in 12th overall pick Bo Nix. While Sutton saw a resurgence in touchdown production last year, accounting for a significant portion of his fantasy points, it's unlikely to repeat, projecting him in the 4-6 TD range. His target usage parallels Jerry Jeudy's, who has since been traded, solidifying Sutton's role as the team's top WR. Despite competition from Marvin Mims and rookie Troy Franklin, Sutton's consistent WR3 performance suggests a stable floor in fantasy.
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43.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA (at LAR)
Smith-Njigba's usage last year was comical. The team neutered him into a low aDOT player when he has the skills to be so much more. When he was aligned outside, he flashed the talent that had plenty of Fantasy GMs drafting him aggressively last year. Among 81 qualifying wide receivers last season, when he was running routes on the perimeter, Smith-Njigba ranked 15th in YPRR and fourth in TPRR. Among 61 qualifying receivers with at least 40 perimeter targets, he also ranked 14th in FD/RR. With a new head coach and offensive coordinator to revamp this offense and a retooled offensive line, Smith-Njigba should flourish in his sophomore season.
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44.
Xavier Worthy
KC (at DEN)
Texas' Xavier Worthy has quickly made a name for himself with his standout speed and playmaking prowess. At 6 feet 1 inch and 172 pounds, Worthy distinguished himself early, notching 62 receptions for 981 yards and 12 touchdowns in his freshman year. He capped off his college career with over 1,000 yards and 5 touchdowns in his junior year, securing a 30% career dominator rating-the second highest in his class-and the youngest breakout age at 18. His abilities have drawn comparisons to DeSean Jackson, both from Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid and draft analyst Thor, underscoring his potential impact. Set to join the Chiefs as a 1st-rounder, Worthy is expected to compete for a significant role, particularly with the possibility of an expanded opportunity if teammate Rashee Rice faces a suspension.
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45.
Christian Watson
GB (vs . CHI)
I hate to break it to the Dontayvion Wicks and Jayden Reed hives, but when Watson was on the field last year, he remained the Packer's WR1. In Weeks 5-13, Watson led the team in target share (17.7%), air-yard share (36.7%), YPRR (1.79), end zone targets (14), first-read share (22.3%), and FD/RR (0.081). Hamstring woes have plagued Watson for the last two years, but Green Bay investigated further into it this offseason with the hopes of getting their stud third-year wide receiver right for 2024. If Watson can finally enjoy a fully healthy season, he can fulfill the potential we have seen in spurts over the last two seasons.
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46.
Tyler Lockett
SEA (at LAR)
Tyler Lockett faced inconsistency throughout the season, finishing 43rd in points per game and WR33 overall, despite a solid 22% target share and over 1,300 air yards. It was his first time outside the top 30 WRs since 2017, failing to match or exceed D.K. Metcalf's fantasy production. With concerns about his age and declining performance, coupled with competition from emerging talents like Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Lockett's fantasy value is on a downward trend entering his age-32 season.
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47.
Ladd McConkey
LAC (at LV)
McConkey could become the Bolts' WR1 in short order. McConkey has a clear path to volume this year, with only Joshua Palmer and Quentin Johnston pushing him weekly. Is the passing volume in a Greg Roman offense a concern? Absolutely, but that's why his ADP is this low. During Roman's final four seasons with Baltimore, his offenses averaged 496 passing attempts. If McConkey can earn at least a 21% target share, then we're talking 102 targets, which might not sound like much, but that would have been tied for 32nd among wide receivers last season. There's plenty of upside for McConkey to earn an even larger slice of the target pie in 2024, considering the other pass catchers that are running opposite him and his inherent talent level. Last year at Georgia, McConkey was in the 98th percentile in receiving grade and receiving grade versus single coverage. He was also in the 91st percentile or higher in separation percentage and YPRR. If the Bolts' throw even more than I'm projecting, McConkey could be one of the best values of the fantasy draft season.
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48.
Jameson Williams
DET (vs . MIN)
Jameson Williams has faced challenges in his first two years in the NFL, including a torn ACL in his rookie season and a slow start due to a suspension in his second year. While he has displayed flashes of big-play potential, injuries and inconsistencies have hampered his progress. Heading into his third year, Williams is expected to take on a larger role in the Lions' offense with the WR2 position likely up for grabs. However, his limited target share and inconsistent performance in 2023 raise questions about his potential breakout. Williams may be overrated based on his draft capital, and he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps in Detroit. Still, it's noteworthy that his HC has already labeled Jamo as the team's most improved player this offseason. Year 3 seems like it will be a career-best for the former Alabama product.
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49.
Jakobi Meyers
LV (vs . LAC)
Jakobi Meyers showcased his talent with an impressive debut season for the Raiders, notably scoring 8 receiving TD on a 21% target share. However, his TD rate in 2023 may be unsustainable moving forward, suggesting potential regression. Despite his scoring prowess, Meyers managed a solid fantasy output, averaging 11.4 points per game and ranking 25th among WRs. His consistency, especially with a rookie in Aidan O'Connell at quarterback, underscores his reliability as a fantasy WR3 option.
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50.
Keon Coleman
BUF (at NE)
Keon Coleman, a second-round pick for the Buffalo Bills, boasts impressive physical attributes at 6'4" and 215 lbs, fitting the mold of an outside X-receiver. His collegiate career showcased consistent improvement, highlighted by a notable junior year at Florida State with 50 receptions, 658 yards, and 11 touchdowns. Despite his youth, Coleman demonstrated dominance, outperforming future NFL prospect Jayden Reed in key metrics. With the Bills, he enters a favorable situation with a talented quarterback and opportunities to rise in the depth chart, setting the stage for a promising start to his NFL journey.
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51.
Mike Williams
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Mike Williams was signed to a one-year deal worth $15 million by Gang Green, but he's going to be 30 years old in October, coming off a Week 3 torn ACL.
FWIW, Big Mike was extremely productive before he got hurt. The former Chargers WR ranked as WR15 overall and WR17 in points per game. Williams can at least slide in as the immediate No. 2 WR behind Garrett Wilson in an offense that will likely get improved QB play from Aaron Rodgers. |
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52.
Brian Thomas Jr.
JAC (at IND)
Brian Thomas Jr. emerged as a force in his junior year at LSU, boasting a 33% dominator rating and leading the FBS with 17 touchdowns. Standing at 6'4" and 205 lbs, he possesses the size and speed of a boundary X-receiver, evidenced by his impressive college production. Despite not being the primary target, Thomas still earned a 24% dominator rating, competing for catches with fellow standout Malik Nabers. Drafted by the Jaguars in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, Thomas has the opportunity to absorb a significant portion of targets left by departing players, potentially exceeding 100 targets. While he offers high-end splash week potential, his weekly consistency may vary due to Jacksonville's diverse offensive weapons.
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53.
Curtis Samuel
BUF (at NE)
Curtis Samuel's 2023 season with the Washington Commanders was underwhelming, finishing as the WR44 overall and averaging 7.9 fantasy points per game. His performance was consistent with his career trend of sporadic production due to injuries. While his receiving stats mirrored his 2020 campaign, he saw limited usage as a rusher. Entering his age 28 season, Samuel has yet to break into WR2 territory in fantasy, typically settling as a WR4 option. However, with a reunion with his former OC Joe Brady in Buffalo, who utilized him effectively from the slot in Carolina, Samuel holds sleeper potential in the Bills offense, especially with changes to their receiving corps.
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54.
Romeo Doubs
GB (vs . CHI)
Romeo Doubs showcased improvement in his 2nd season, becoming a consistent target in their passing game. With 69 receptions on 105 targets for 908 yards and 9 touchdowns, he proved to be a valuable asset, particularly in the red zone. However, Doubs fell short of maximizing his potential within the offense, scoring fewer points than his expected output, creating doubt about his 2024 ceiling. Despite this, his performance solidified him as a reliable WR4 option in fantasy leagues.
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55.
Brandin Cooks
DAL (vs . WAS)
Brandin Cooks ended the season as the WR45 in points per game (9.1) and WR36 overall. After his sluggish start, Cooks was unlocked from Week 6 onward as we saw the Dallas offense start to click. WR22 overall and WR28 in points per game (11.2). He will be 31 in September.
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56.
Josh Downs
IND (vs . JAC)
Josh Downs had a promising rookie season with the Colts, showcasing his skills with 68 receptions and 771 receiving yards. Despite his strong performance, Downs struggled to find the end zone, recording only two touchdowns. However, his production dipped after sustaining a knee injury, impacting his performance in the latter part of the season. Nonetheless, Downs displayed potential from Weeks 1-8, leading the Colts in yards per route run and maintaining a solid 19% target share.
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57.
Jerry Jeudy
CLE (at BAL)
Jerry Jeudy secured 54 receptions for 758 receiving yards in the 2023 season with the Broncos. Despite his yardage production, Jeudy struggled to find the end zone, recording only two touchdowns throughout the year. His fantasy performance landed him as the WR50 overall, emphasizing the need for improved quarterback play in his first season with the Browns to elevate his fantasy value beyond the WR3 tier. Based on the contract Jeudy signed - 3-years and $52.5 million - it's his job to lose as the WR2 versus Elijah Moore.
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58.
Jahan Dotson
WAS (at DAL)
Jahan Dotson's 2023 season was disappointing after a promising rookie campaign, characterized by inefficiency in a pass-heavy Commanders offense. However, Curtis Samuel's departure to the Bills opens up opportunities for Dotson to rebound in Year 3. Despite his struggles, Dotson showed flashes of potential in games where Samuel was absent or limited, posting strong numbers. With the Commanders' passing game relying heavily on volume over efficiency, Dotson, along with teammate Terry McLaurin, will depend on improved quarterback play from Jayden Daniels to elevate their fantasy value. Dotson's red-zone involvement in 2023 signals his potential for increased scoring opportunities with better quarterback performance.
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59.
Rashid Shaheed
NO (at TB)
Rashid Shaheed enjoyed a solid 2nd season, as a boom-or-bust option. He totaled over 1,000 air yards on just 75 targets (14% target share). Shaheed excelled in making big plays, as seen in his 31 catches of over 20 yards (14th). He scored 132.6 fantasy points, averaging 8.3 points per game. Shaheed was ranked 49th among wide receivers in points per game.
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60.
Gabe Davis
JAC (at IND)
Gabe Davis's move to the Jaguars offers him a fresh start after a mixed performance with the Bills in 2023. While he showcased his big-play ability with 7 touchdowns and 1,200 air yards, his inconsistency, including four catchless games in his last eight appearances, raises concerns. In Jacksonville, Davis could see an uptick in targets following the departures of Zay Jones and Calvin Ridley, but his boom-or-bust nature may persist. With Trevor Lawrence leading the offense and competition from established pass-catchers and rookie Brian Thomas Jr., Davis's fantasy outlook remains uncertain, making him a better fit for best ball formats where his spiked weeks could still offer value.
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61.
Joshua Palmer
LAC (at LV)
Joshua Palmer emerged as a significant contributor for the Chargers last season, especially when Mike Williams and Keenan Allen were sidelined. His performance, particularly in games without Williams, showcased his potential, averaging 10.6 fantasy points per game. Even in the absence of both WRs and QB1 Justin Herbert, Palmer maintained a strong target share and production, averaging 11.5 points per game. While the Chargers are likely to draft a wide receiver, Palmer remains a solid in-house option.
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62.
Khalil Shakir
BUF (at NE)
Khalil Shakir concluded his second season on a high note, shining in the absence of Gabe Davis with impressive performances. Over the last three games, he caught 16 of 17 targets for 180 yards and 2 touchdowns, showcasing his reliability and big-play ability. Shakir topped the NFL in catch rate (88%) and generated the highest passer rating (141.5), while leading the Bills in receiving EPA and ranking 16th overall in the league. Despite earning a larger role in the offense for 2024, he faces competition for targets from second-round rookie Keon Coleman and veteran slot WR Curtis Samuel.
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63.
Adam Thielen
CAR (at ATL)
Adam Thielen's 2023 season provided the full-body experience of an older veteran WR with zero competition for targets. He started out of the gates red hot, as the WR11 overall through 11 weeks, scoring fantasy points per game at a top-15 rate at 13.7. But alas the 33-year-old could not continue his production with shoddy QB play from his rookie QB. WR51 from Weeks 12-18. Woof. With 103 receptions (10th) on 137 targets (25% target share, 14th), Thielen racked up 1,014 receiving yards, averaging 9.8 yards per reception, and notched 4 touchdown receptions running the 5th-most routes in the NFL. He ended the season with a 10.6 points per game average, securing him as the 25th overall wide receiver in half-PPR scoring. WR31 per game. He's under contract until 2026 and will be entering the offseason as the Panthers' No. 1 WR until they add more WRs in the draft/free agency - the latter of which will likely happen based on the Panthers' interest before this past year's trade deadline.
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64.
Adonai Mitchell
IND (vs . JAC)
Adonai Mitchell had a standout season with the Texas Longhorns, achieving a 32% dominator rating with 11 touchdowns from 55 receptions. Standing at 6'2" and weighing 205 pounds, his physique is well-suited for an outside receiver role. While he boasts the physical tools and deep threat potential akin to D.J. Chark Jr. or Alec Pierce, Mitchell enters a situation where he may play third fiddle behind Michael Pittman Jr. and Josh Downs. This could limit his weekly fantasy production, although his knack for big plays makes him a worthy consideration in best-ball formats, offering occasional high-scoring outings.
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65.
Quentin Johnston
LAC (at LV)
Quentin Johnston's rookie season left much to be desired, with disappointing production. Despite the Chargers' offseason moves opening up opportunities, including the departure of key receivers, Johnston failed to capitalize on his chances. With Ladd McConkey drafted early, Johnston's future role in the offense becomes uncertain. While it may be premature to label him a bust after just one season, his lack of impact in Year 1 (61st among 63 qualifying WRs in yards per route run) raises red flags for his fantasy value moving forward.
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66.
Marvin Mims Jr.
DEN (vs . KC)
Marvin Mims Jr., the second-year wideout for the Broncos, stands to benefit from the departure of Jerry Jeudy, which opens up more playing time and opportunities for him in the offense. Despite limited playing time in his rookie year, Mims showed flashes of potential, including a couple of impressive performances early in the season. However, his development was hindered by redundancy in roles with Jeudy and depth at the WR position. While there's optimism for Mims to step up in his 2nd season, the recent drafting of Troy Franklin with an overlapping skillset could potentially complicate his path to a significant role in the offense.
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67.
Michael Wilson
ARI (vs . SF)
The highlight of Week 18? Rookie Michael Wilson.
6 targets (21% target share) and 6 receptions for 95 yards. 68 air yards and 40% air yards share. The rookie posted a very under-the-radar campaign as a highly involved Cardinals WR. He ran a route on 80% of the dropbacks (35th among all WRs) which locks him into a full-time role in this offense next season, as long as he can fend off Zay Jones. Wilson also finished his season on a high note, averaging 15.5 points per game after his last two contests with Marquise Brown out. |
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68.
Dontayvion Wicks
GB (vs . CHI)
Dontayvion Wicks made significant contributions to the Packers' offense during Christian Watson's absence, showcasing his big-play ability and reliability as a target. With 39 receptions for 581 yards and 5 touchdowns, Wicks demonstrated his potential to be a valuable asset in the passing game. Despite being a fifth-round rookie, he ranked among the top rookies in yards per route run, hinting at his promising future in an offense led by Jordan Love. As a deep sleeper, Wicks has the opportunity to emerge as a key playmaker in the Packers' ascending offense.
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69.
DeMario Douglas
NE (vs . BUF)
Demario Douglas emerged as a surprise contributor for the Patriots in 2023, showcasing his playmaking ability despite failing to find the end zone. Leading the team with 561 receiving yards without a touchdown, he demonstrated consistent involvement in the passing game with an 18% target share. From Week 7 onwards, Douglas maintained a significant role, posting a 21% target share and earning praise for his performance. However, the Patriots' decision to draft two wide receivers this year introduces competition, potentially impacting Douglas's role in the offense moving forward.
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70.
Darnell Mooney
ATL (vs . CAR)
Darnell Mooney's potential as a FA steal in the upcoming season is evident despite a challenging and injury-marred previous campaign. His track record of commanding a significant target share of 27%, especially during his standout performances in 2021-2022, underscores his ability to thrive in an offense. With a clear path to the WR2 role in Atlanta's receiving corps, Mooney could emerge as a valuable asset, particularly in a case of an injury. Coupled with his impressive yards after the catch per reception, Mooney's presence adds depth and reliability to the upgraded Falcons' passing game.
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71.
Wan'Dale Robinson
NYG (at PHI)
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72.
Xavier Legette
CAR (at ATL)
Xavier Legette, a standout receiver from South Carolina, showcased his skills with exceptional performances, notably in his super senior year. At 6'3" and 227 lbs, his size and athleticism make him ideal for an outside receiver role. With strong hands and the ability to secure catches in traffic, he's reliable even without relying on his body. Despite concerns about consistency as a one-year wonder entering the NFL at 23, his physical traits resemble players like D.K. Metcalf, hinting at his potential. Drafted in the first round by the Carolina Panthers, his success may hinge on how well he's utilized in their scheme under new HC Dave Canales.
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73.
Rashod Bateman
BAL (vs . CLE)
The Baltimore Ravens signed wide receiver Rashod Bateman to a 2-year contract through the 2026 season. Ravens OC Todd Monken says he's seen "tremendous growth" from WR Bateman and expects him to receive the ball a lot this season per Ryan Mink, Editorial Director for the Ravens.
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74.
Elijah Moore
CLE (at BAL)
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75.
Ja'Lynn Polk
NE (vs . BUF)
After overcoming an injury in his sophomore year, Ja'Lynn Polk delivered a stellar senior season with 69 receptions for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns. Known for his quickness, strong hands, and excellent body control, Polk consistently makes difficult catches in traffic, showcasing his well-rounded skills. Drawing comparisons to NFL players like Mohamed Sanu, Tyler Boyd, and Joshua Palmer, Polk is considered a safe, reliable receiver. Selected in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft by the Patriots, he is poised to become a dependable part of their passing game.
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76.
Ricky Pearsall
SF (at ARI)
Pearsall Jr. could easily get squeezed for playing time and volume in year one, but he's one injury or Deebo Samuel trade away from being an exquisite value. Pearsall Jr. became one of my favorite players during the NFL Draft cycle. His film was fantastic as he oozes high-end route running prowess with the athleticism to stretch the field. In his final season at Florida, he finished in the 89th percentile in receiving grade, the 91st percentile in receiving grade against single coverage, and the 90th percentile in separation percentage. Pearsall Jr. could be a player that is dropped to waivers by Week 4, but the upside is there for him to absolutely crush as well in his rookie season.
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77.
Troy Franklin
DEN (vs . KC)
Troy Franklin capped his junior year at Oregon with nearly 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns, showcasing his deep-threat capabilities with a 29% dominator rating. Despite concerns about his slender frame at 6-foot-3 and 183 lbs, his rumored 4.35-second 40-yard dash underscores his potential as a top-tier receiver and early breakout age. Drafted early in Round 4 by the Broncos after a disappointing combine, Franklin finds a favorable situation under Sean Payton, who has a history of trading up for wide receivers. Positioned to play the "Z" role previously held by Jerry Jeudy, Franklin's existing chemistry with Broncos QB Bo Nix, his former college teammate, could enhance his opportunity to make an immediate impact.
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78.
Jermaine Burton
CIN (at PIT)
Burton has a clear path to volume behind Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. He should be starting three wide sets from Day 1. Tyler Boyd has been a descending player for the last few seasons, and even as the team's third wheel, he drew between 83 and 98 targets per season. Burton could push for 100-plus in his rookie season. The passing volume should be there, as Cincinnati was third in neutral passing rate last year when Joe Burrow was healthy and looking like his usual self. Off-the-field issues are the only reason that Burton was available when the Bengals selected him in the NFL Draft. Based on talent alone, he should have been at least a second-round pick and could have honestly pushed for a first-round selection. In his final season at Alabama, Burton was in the 90th percentile against single coverage and 82nd percentile in YPRR. If Tee Higgins gets moved prior to Week 1 or holds out, Burton's stock will soar through the roof.
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79.
Roman Wilson
PIT (vs . CIN)
Roman Wilson showed promise with 48 receptions for 789 yards and 12 touchdowns in his standout senior year at Michigan (37% dominator, 6th-highest in the class). However, concerns arise due to his late breakout age at 22 and limited overall production. With the Steelers likely maintaining a run-heavy offense under OC Arthur Smith and Wilson's role as a deep threat in college, the 2024 third-round draft pick's fantasy impact could be limited despite Pittsburgh's history of success with mid-round WR selections.
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80.
Jalin Hyatt
NYG (at PHI)
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81.
Darius Slayton
NYG (at PHI)
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82.
Javon Baker
NE (vs . BUF)
Javon Baker's path to the NFL took a significant turn when he transferred from Alabama to UCF, where he excelled with impressive dominator ratings in his final two seasons. Standing at 6-foot-1 and 202 pounds, Baker's skill set as a big-play threat was evident, highlighted by his high average yards per reception and yards after catch ability. Often compared to DeVonta Smith, Baker brings added size and route-running prowess to the table. Drafted by the Patriots in the fourth round, he joins a team with a relatively thin receiver depth chart, offering him ample opportunity to shine. Despite being chosen after Ja'Lynn Polk, Baker's consistent ability to make plays downfield suggests a high ceiling and the potential to emerge as a key figure in New England's passing game.
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83.
Demarcus Robinson
LAR (vs . SEA)
It's like everyone is forgetting what Robinson did to close the 2023 season with Los Angeles. In Weeks 13-18, he went on a tear ranking (among 109 qualifying receivers), 36th in YPRR, 28th in FD/RR, and 26th in fantasy points per route run. In those six weeks, Robinson was the WR31 in fantasy points per game. Robinson is the perfect veteran receiver to pair with a high-upside rookie late. Robinson could be a strong weekly flex play from the outset before relinquishing his fantasy lineup duties mid-season to a stretch run rookie hammer.
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84.
Kendrick Bourne
NE (vs . BUF)
The Patriots re-signed Kendrick Bourne to a 3-year, $19.5 million contract. He will be 29 years old in 2024, coming off a Week 8 torn ACL injury. Before his injury, Bourne was the fantasy WR28 averaging 10.2 points per game in half-PPR (38th). Led the Patriots with a 19.4% target share with a 28% air yards share. He will likely be in the starter's chair until a rookie or younger WR usurps him on the depth chart.
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85.
Malachi Corley
NYJ (vs . MIA)
Malachi Corley demonstrated consistent productivity at Western Kentucky, particularly excelling in creating yards after the catch. Despite his smaller stature, his thick frame allowed him to navigate through defenses effectively. However, concerns arise regarding his play style being more akin to a running back than a traditional receiver. Coupled with doubts about the Jets' offensive creativity, Corley's potential may be limited in their system. Despite being a third-round pick, I'd exercise caution in investing in him for fantasy purposes.
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86.
Treylon Burks
TEN (vs . HOU)
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87.
Zay Jones
ARI (vs . SF)
Zay Jones' 2023 season was marred by injuries, limiting his impact to just 34 receptions for 321 yards and 2 touchdowns in 9 games. Despite the challenges, his performance in the final four games hinted at his potential when healthy, averaging 8 fantasy points and just south of 10 targets/game. His signing with the Arizona Cardinals after being released presents a fresh opportunity, and if he can maintain his health, he could become a valuable asset in their offense as No. 3 option.
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88.
Jonathan Mingo
CAR (at ATL)
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89.
Tyler Boyd
TEN (vs . HOU)
Tyler Boyd had 67 receptions on 98 targets, totaling 667 receiving yards at an average of 10 yards per catch, with a long catch of 64 yards. Boyd found the end zone twice. Over 17 games, Boyd earned 112.3 fantasy points, averaging 6.6 points per game as the WR64 in points per game. He will likely be a nice depth piece for the Titans in 2024, and possibly provide some early in-season production as he turns 30 years old.
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90.
Rondale Moore
ATL (vs . CAR)
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91.
A.T. Perry
NO (at TB)
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92.
Brenden Rice
LAC (at LV)
Brenden Rice brings a compelling combination of size, athleticism, and football pedigree to the wide receiver position, standing out with his 6'3" frame and impressive physical presence. While his collegiate journey included a breakout season at Colorado and a productive senior year at USC, his final season dominator rating fell slightly below expectations. Nevertheless, Rice's ability to make an impact in the red zone and his proficiency in catching touchdowns highlight his potential as a scoring threat at the next level. His comparison to Josh Palmer underscores the importance of his quarterback and offensive situation in maximizing his impact on the field. Joining the Chargers in the seventh round presents Rice with an opportunity to continue his development and carve out a role in their offense.
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93.
Devontez Walker
BAL (vs . CLE)
Devontez Walker's college career showcased his explosiveness and knack for making big plays, especially evident in his remarkable dominator rating at Kent State. Despite his impressive physical attributes and speed, Walker's limitations in generating yards after the catch are notable. Drawing comparisons to Marvin Jones, he presents significant upside but also carries a boom-or-bust label, highly dependent on his landing spot for optimal performance. Joining the Ravens in the fourth round offers him the opportunity to work with Lamar Jackson, but he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps led by Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Walker's success in the NFL may hinge on his ability to carve out a role in a balanced offensive scheme.
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94.
Odell Beckham Jr.
MIA (at NYJ)
Odell Beckham Jr.'s tenure with the Ravens in 2023 didn't meet expectations, but he showed flashes of his former self, particularly in the second half of the season. Despite turning 31, he maintained his ability as a deep threat, ranking highly in average depth of target and PFF receiving grade. His signing with the Dolphins on a one-year deal provides him with a fresh start and the opportunity to contribute in a potentially more favorable offensive environment. While he may not be the fantasy star he once was, he still holds value as a matchup-dependent option or in case of injuries to Miami's receiving corps.
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95.
Alec Pierce
IND (vs . JAC)
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96.
Trey Palmer
TB (vs . NO)
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97.
K.J. Osborn
NE (vs . BUF)
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98.
Cedric Tillman
CLE (at BAL)
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99.
Andrei Iosivas
CIN (at PIT)
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100.
DJ Chark Jr.
LAC (at LV)
The 27-year-old is hitting free agency (again) after playing a complimentary role with the Panthers in 2023. Chark caught a long pass that was initially ruled a TD in Week 18, but it was overturned to a fumble through the end zone. Woof. He is a free agent in 2024 and will likely land on a new team as a complimentary deep threat who misses games with injuries.
Chark was the WR58 overall in 2023, averaging 6.5 points per game (65th). He led the Panthers in TDs (5) and posted over 1,000 air yards on a team-high 31% air yards share (33rd). No player had more air yards with fewer targets (66) than Chark despite two missed games. D.J. Chark signed with the Chargers after the NFL Draft to a one-year deal worth $5 million. |
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101.
Josh Reynolds
DEN (vs . KC)
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102.
Michael Thomas
FA (BYE)
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103.
Noah Brown
HOU (at TEN)
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104.
Jalen McMillan
TB (vs . NO)
Jalen McMillan's trajectory from his breakout season at Washington to his selection by the Buccaneers in the third round underscores his potential as a promising NFL receiver. Despite facing challenges like injuries and reduced opportunities in his final collegiate year, McMillan's strong route-running skills and experience in the slot position position him well for success at the professional level. He led the Washington Huskies in targets and catches in 2022 despite playing with future 1st and 2nd round picks.
With a clear path to the WR3 role in Tampa Bay's offense and the possibility of further advancement to WR2 in the coming seasons, McMillan's combination of talent and opportunity could make him a valuable asset. |
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105.
Michael Gallup
LV (vs . LAC)
Signed with the Raiders in free agency after being released by the Dallas Cowboys.
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106.
Kadarius Toney
KC (at DEN)
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107.
Robert Woods
HOU (at TEN)
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108.
Tyler Scott
CHI (at GB)
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109.
Jacob Cowing
SF (at ARI)
Jacob Cowing, though lacking in size at under 5-foot-9 and 168 pounds, compensates with exceptional speed, agility, and precise route-running, making him a constant threat on the field. With a career dominator rating of 32%, Cowing's dominance at Arizona and UTEP is undeniable, highlighted by elite single-season marks of 42% and 41% in 2020 and 2021 respectively. Despite concerns about his size, his senior year showcased his ability to stretch the field and create after the catch, amassing 89 receptions for 868 yards and 13 touchdowns. While a Senior Bowl injury may have dampened his stock, Cowing's K.J. Hamler-esque profile and sub-4.4 speed make him an intriguing prospect, particularly in a Kyle Shanahan-style offense like the one in San Francisco, where undersized receivers have thrived before.
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110.
Luke McCaffrey
WAS (at DAL)
Another NFL Draft cycle crush has crept into redraft season, with McCaffrey making this list. McCaffrey crushed every part of the process. He flashed big time at the Senior Bowl in Mobile, and then he opened a ton of eyes during his athletic testing. Despite his last name, I don't think many people were expecting him to walk away with a 4.46 forty time and a 96th percentile agility score. Don't be blown away when McCaffrey is starting in two wide receiver sets over Jahan Dotson. McCaffrey is still honing his game, especially against man coverage, but he already has a good feel for and understanding of how to beat zone coverage. In a league where every team utilizes zone coverage on at least 54.5% of their defensive snaps and 23 teams run it on at least 66% of their snaps, McCaffrey should be able to hit the ground running. Last year against zone among 111 qualifying FBS wide receivers, he ranked sixth in receiving grade and 28th in YPRR against zone. McCaffrey is a magnificent dart to toss in as many drafts as possible.
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111.
Greg Dortch
ARI (vs . SF)
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112.
Tutu Atwell
LAR (vs . SEA)
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113.
Hunter Renfrow
FA (BYE)
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114.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
BUF (at NE)
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115.
Malik Washington
MIA (at NYJ)
Malik Washington's collegiate success at Virginia, highlighted by a dominant 47% dominator rating and nearly 1,400 receiving yards, translated well to the NFL Combine, where he showcased exceptional athleticism, with his remarkable 42.5-inch vertical jump. Despite his smaller stature, Washington's abilities as a YAC specialist make him a valuable addition to the Dolphins' offense, especially alongside playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. With Coach Mike McDaniel's evident enthusiasm for Washington's potential, coupled with the opportunity afforded by Miami's offensive scheme and quarterback talent, Washington could outperform expectations as a Day 3 pick.
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116.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
NE (vs . BUF)
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117.
DeVante Parker
FA (BYE)
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118.
Jalen Tolbert
DAL (vs . WAS)
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119.
Allen Lazard
NYJ (vs . MIA)
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120.
Skyy Moore
KC (at DEN)
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121.
John Metchie III
HOU (at TEN)
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122.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
DET (vs . MIN)
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123.
Nelson Agholor
BAL (vs . CLE)
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124.
Tre Tucker
LV (vs . LAC)
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125.
Justin Watson
KC (at DEN)
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126.
Bo Melton
GB (vs . CHI)
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127.
Johnny Wilson
PHI (vs . NYG)
Johnny Wilson brings a unique blend of size and athleticism to the wide receiver position, standing out with his imposing 6'6" frame. While he faced challenges with a late breakout age and a dip in production in his final collegiate season, his standout performances at Florida State underscore his potential as a red zone threat and contested catch specialist. Wilson's ability to exceed expectations in terms of target rate highlights his impact on the field, despite any statistical fluctuations. The interest from NFL teams in potentially transitioning him to tight end adds another dimension to his potential role at the next level, offering fantasy managers additional flexibility in their roster considerations. Joining the Eagles in the sixth round presents an opportunity for Wilson to further develop and carve out a niche in Philadelphia's offense.
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128.
Jauan Jennings
SF (at ARI)
The 49ers also re-signed Jauan Jennings to an extension to his rookie contract through the 2025 season. The deal is worth a guaranteed $10.5 million and is comparable to the extension Rashod Bateman received with the Ravens. Jennings had moments in 2024, most notably in his single spot start back in Week 7 against the Vikings with Deebo Samuel inactive. Jennings was targeted a team-high 9 times (31% Target share) and caught 5 passes for 54 yards. He filled in admirably for Samuel. And he performed well in the 49ers' postseason run. Jennings caught 5 of 6 targets for 61 yards in the divisional round versus Green Bay. In the Super Bowl, Jennings was making his case for MVP with 4 catches for 42 yards and 1 TD in addition to a passing TD to Christian McCaffrey. If the team trades Samuel, Jennings is an underrated player who could seize a larger role in the 49ers offense.
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129.
Calvin Austin III
PIT (vs . CIN)
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130.
Kalif Raymond
DET (vs . MIN)
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131.
Tim Patrick
DEN (vs . KC)
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132.
Parker Washington
JAC (at IND)
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133.
Van Jefferson
PIT (vs . CIN)
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134.
Ainias Smith
PHI (vs . NYG)
Ainias Smith emerged as a versatile playmaker for the Aggies, showcasing his skills both as a receiver and running back. Despite a setback in 2022 due to injury and off-field issues, he rebounded in his final season with impressive receiving yardage and punt return ability. While not the fastest, his dynamic open-field prowess and versatility make him an intriguing prospect, especially for teams like the Philadelphia Eagles, who have shown interest in him during the pre-draft process. If Smith can put his red flags behind him, he has the potential to contribute early on, possibly even cracking the starting lineup in Philadelphia's receiver corps.
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135.
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU (at TEN)
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136.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
NO (at TB)
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137.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
TEN (vs . HOU)
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138.
Mack Hollins
BUF (at NE)
Mack Hollins is entering his age 31 season (wait what) and signed with the Buffalo Bills this offseason, presumably to operate as a field-stretcher and downfield blocker. Our new cardio king.
Hollins has only had one productive season in the NFL (2022 with the Raiders as the fantasy WR41) when finished 10th in routes run per dropbacks (93%) and commanded 1,153 air yards as the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver. The journeyman new landing spot will likely be completely overlooked by fantasy managers, but a WR running a route on 90% or more of Josh Allen's dropbacks (the Gabe Davis role) is pretty tantalizing, especially at a free price tag. Just don't get carried away with Hollins as anything more than a depth fantasy WR4/5 a best. Worth an addition in deeper WR formats. |
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139.
Charlie Jones
CIN (at PIT)
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140.
Xavier Gipson
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
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141.
Brandon Powell
MIN (at DET)
|
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142.
Jamari Thrash
CLE (at BAL)
Jamari Thrash's college career boasted impressive production, highlighted by his standout seasons at both Georgia State and Louisville. His ability to consistently produce at a high level, even after transferring to a higher level of competition, speaks to his maturity and readiness for the NFL. Thrash's agility and skill in gaining yards after the catch stand out as key strengths, evidenced by his rankings in YAC/reception and broken tackle rate. However, his vertical game and route consistency are areas that may need refinement at the next level. Joining the Browns in the fifth round offers him an opportunity to further develop under NFL coaching while competing for a role in their receiving corps.
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143.
Chris Moore
ARI (vs . SF)
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144.
David Bell
CLE (at BAL)
|
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145.
Tyquan Thornton
NE (vs . BUF)
|
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146.
Trenton Irwin
CIN (at PIT)
|
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147.
Quez Watkins
PIT (vs . CIN)
|
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148.
Isaiah Hodgins
NYG (at PHI)
|
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149.
Parris Campbell
PHI (vs . NYG)
|
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150.
Isaiah McKenzie
NYG (at PHI)
|
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151.
Jamison Crowder
WAS (at DAL)
|
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152.
Braxton Berrios
MIA (at NYJ)
|
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153.
Kyle Philips
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
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154.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
CAR (at ATL)
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155.
Dyami Brown
WAS (at DAL)
|
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156.
Chase Claypool
BUF (at NE)
|
|
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157.
Jha'Quan Jackson
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
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158.
Derius Davis
LAC (at LV)
|
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159.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
160.
Bub Means
NO (at TB)
|
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161.
Trent Sherfield Sr.
MIN (at DET)
|
|
|
162.
KaVontae Turpin
DAL (vs . WAS)
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|
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163.
Justyn Ross
KC (at DEN)
|
|
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164.
Ryan Flournoy
DAL (vs . WAS)
|
|
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165.
Anthony Gould
IND (vs . JAC)
|
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166.
Jake Bobo
SEA (at LAR)
|
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167.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WAS (at DAL)
|
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168.
Allen Robinson II
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
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169.
Jordan Whittington
LAR (vs . SEA)
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170.
Tahj Washington
MIA (at NYJ)
Tahj Washington caught 13 of his 15 deep targets in 2023 (87%). Perfect passer rating generated on deep targets from Caleb Williams.
Broke out at an early age in 2020 at Memphis while competing for targets with Calvin Austin III, before transferring to USC the last three seasons. 5-foot-10 and 174 pounds, he is definitely on the smaller side of this WR class. Posted his most productive season this past year, with over 1,000 yards and 8 TDs (23% dominator rating). Counting stats were not elite, but he was absurdly efficient. Exceptional route runner, slot player and useful after the catch. Second in the class in both YAC/reception and broken missed tackle per reception. He was drafted by the Dolphins in Round 7. |
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171.
Malik Heath
GB (vs . CHI)
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172.
Emeka Egbuka
FA (BYE)
|
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173.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN (vs . KC)
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174.
Equanimeous St. Brown
NO (at TB)
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175.
River Cracraft
MIA (at NYJ)
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176.
Tre'Quan Smith
DET (vs . MIN)
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177.
Scotty Miller
PIT (vs . CIN)
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178.
Jalen Guyton
LV (vs . LAC)
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179.
Brandon Johnson
DEN (vs . KC)
|
|
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180.
Cornelius Johnson
LAC (at LV)
|
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181.
Jason Brownlee
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
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182.
Jamal Agnew
FA (BYE)
|
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183.
Rakim Jarrett
TB (vs . NO)
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184.
KhaDarel Hodge
ATL (vs . CAR)
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185.
Josh Crockett
FA (BYE)
|
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186.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
SEA (at LAR)
|
|
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187.
Isaiah Williams
DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
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188.
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint
WAS (at DAL)
|
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189.
Jalen Reagor
NE (vs . BUF)
|
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190.
Ronnie Bell
SF (at ARI)
|
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191.
Deven Thompkins
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
192.
Casey Washington
ATL (vs . CAR)
|
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193.
Richie James Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
194.
Deonte Harty
BAL (vs . CLE)
|
|
195.
Samori Toure
GB (vs . CHI)
|
|
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196.
Xavier Weaver
ARI (vs . SF)
|
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197.
Devin Duvernay
JAC (at IND)
|
|
198.
David Moore
CAR (at ATL)
|
|
199.
Kayshon Boutte
NE (vs . BUF)
|
|
200.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
ATL (vs . CAR)
|
|
201.
Julio Jones
FA (BYE)
|
|
202.
Erik Ezukanma
MIA (at NYJ)
|
|
|
203.
Isaiah Williams
FA (BYE)
|
|
204.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
NO (at TB)
|
|
205.
Jalen Nailor
MIN (at DET)
|
|
206.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
CAR (at ATL)
|
|
207.
Russell Gage
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
208.
Jaxon Janke
HOU (at TEN)
|
|
209.
Denzel Mims
PIT (vs . CIN)
|
|
210.
KJ Hamler
BUF (at NE)
|
|
211.
Alex Erickson
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
212.
Jalen Brooks
DAL (vs . WAS)
|
|
213.
Lawrence Cager
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
214.
DeAndre Carter
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
215.
Tyler Davis
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
216.
Devaughn Vele
DEN (vs . KC)
|
|
217.
Sterling Shepard
FA (BYE)
|
|
218.
Quintez Cephus
FA (BYE)
|
|
219.
Robbie Chosen
FA (BYE)
|
|
220.
Mike Strachan
CAR (at ATL)
|
|
221.
Velus Jones Jr.
CHI (at GB)
|
|
222.
Marquez Callaway
PIT (vs . CIN)
|
|
223.
Keith Kirkwood
FA (BYE)
|
|
224.
Marquise Goodwin
FA (BYE)
|
|
225.
Joe Parker
FA (BYE)
|
|
226.
Randall Cobb
FA (BYE)
|
|
227.
Trishton Jackson
MIN (at DET)
|
|
|
228.
Mason Tipton
NO (at TB)
|
|
|
229.
Ty James
MIN (at DET)
|
|
230.
Byron Pringle
FA (BYE)
|
|
231.
Zach Pascal
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
|
232.
Devron Harper
MIN (at DET)
|
|
233.
Tim Jones
JAC (at IND)
|
|
234.
Justin Shorter
BUF (at NE)
|
|
235.
N'Keal Harry
MIN (at DET)
|
|
236.
Ben Skowronek
HOU (at TEN)
|
|
237.
Martavis Bryant
FA (BYE)
|
|
238.
Bisi Johnson
FA (BYE)
|
|
239.
D.J. Montgomery
IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
|
240.
J. Michael Sturdivant
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
241.
Lideatrick Griffin
LV (vs . LAC)
|
|
242.
Dee Eskridge
SEA (at LAR)
|
|
|
243.
Jeff Foreman
LV (vs . LAC)
|
|
244.
Corey Davis
FA (BYE)
|
|
245.
Reggie Begelton
FA (BYE)
|
|
246.
Tyre Brady
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
247.
De'Corian Clark
FA (BYE)
|
|
248.
Simi Fehoko
LAC (at LV)
|
|
249.
Tylan Wallace
BAL (vs . CLE)
|
|
250.
Austin Trammell
LAR (vs . SEA)
|
|
251.
Elijah Cooks
JAC (at IND)
|
|
|
252.
Moose Muhammad III
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
253.
Tejhaun Palmer
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
|
254.
Tory Horton
FA (BYE)
|
|
255.
Marvin Jones Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
|
256.
Ramel Keyton
LV (vs . LAC)
|
|
257.
Keelan Doss
LAC (at LV)
|
|
|
258.
Theo Wease
FA (BYE)
|
|
259.
Andy Isabella
BUF (at NE)
|
|
260.
Steven Sims Jr.
HOU (at TEN)
|
|
261.
Lance McCutcheon
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
262.
Miles Boykin
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
263.
Willie Snead IV
SF (at ARI)
|
|
264.
Stanley Morgan Jr.
NO (at TB)
|
|
265.
Malik Taylor
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
266.
Collin Johnson
CHI (at GB)
|
|
267.
Cody Thompson
SEA (at LAR)
|
|
268.
Britain Covey
PHI (vs . NYG)
|
|
269.
Mason Kinsey
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
270.
Colton Dowell
TEN (vs . HOU)
|
|
271.
Daniel Arias
ARI (vs . SF)
|
|
272.
Damiere Byrd
WAS (at DAL)
|
|
273.
Kwamie Lassiter II
CIN (at PIT)
|
|
274.
Jarvis Landry
FA (BYE)
|
|
275.
Laquon Treadwell
FA (BYE)
|
|
276.
Antoine Green
DET (vs . MIN)
|
|
277.
Gunner Olszewski
NYG (at PHI)
|
|
278.
Kaylon Geiger Sr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
279.
Juwann Winfree
IND (vs . JAC)
|
|
280.
Jeff Cotton Jr.
FA (BYE)
|
|
281.
Irvin Charles
NYJ (vs . MIA)
|
|
282.
Shedrick Jackson
CIN (at PIT)
|
|
283.
Phillip Dorsett II
DEN (vs . KC)
|
|
284.
Trent Taylor
SF (at ARI)
|
|
285.
Danny Gray
SF (at ARI)
|
|
286.
James Proche II
CLE (at BAL)
|
|
|
287.
James Butler
FA (BYE)
|
|
288.
Anthony Miller
FA (BYE)
|
|
289.
Penny Hart
FA (BYE)
|
|
290.
Chris Conley
SF (at ARI)
|
|
291.
Dax Milne
WAS (at DAL)
|
|
292.
Marcus Kemp
FA (BYE)
|
|
293.
Kaden Davis
DET (vs . MIN)
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