Fantasy Football Player Notes
2024 Draft Rankings
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1.
CeeDee Lamb
DAL
Through 18 weeks, CeeDee Lamb finished as the top WR in half-PPR formats, amassing 335.7 fantasy points (19.7 per game, second-best). He had 135 receptions on 181 targets, totaling 1,749 yards with a long catch of 92 yards. Lamb scored 12 receiving and 2 rushing touchdowns, displaying versatility and consistency throughout the season.
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2.
Tyreek Hill
MIA
Tyreek Hill was second overall in total points, scoring 299.2 points (19.9 per game). He recorded 1,717 receiving yards from 112 catches on 158 targets, showcasing his deep-threat ability with a longest reception of 78 yards and 12 touchdowns.
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3.
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN
This Bengals offense could look very different in 2024, but one thing remains certain.
Ja'Marr Chase is going to be the focal point. He finished with an impressive stat line: 100 receptions (career-high) on 145 targets (26% target share), amassing 1,216 yards at an average of 12.2 yards per catch. Chase scored 7 touchdowns while ranking top-10 in red zone targets. Over 16 games, he totaled 212.7 fantasy points, averaging a strong 13.3 points per game (WR13). But we all know Chase left production on the table without his healthy star QB. Weeks 1-10 with Joe Burrow, Chase averaged 16.2 points per game (6th) and 19.6 expected points per game (fifth). |
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4.
Justin Jefferson
MIN
Justin Jefferson finished the season 5th in points per game (16.8) despite missing seven games and losing starting quarterback Kirk Cousins. Still, he had a standout season with 68 receptions from 100 targets, gaining a total of 1,074 receiving yards. Jefferson found the end zone 5 times, showcasing his ability to convert receptions into touchdowns. He commanded a 28% target share, 41% air yards share and finished 8th in weighted opportunity. Before Cousins' injury, he led all WRs in fantasy points scored (21.7 per game). Jefferson's ability to perform without Cousins last season suggests he can still produce in the Vikings 2024 offense that will be without it's former QB. He is going to fall in drafts as a result. But Weeks 15-18, Jefferson was still a clear-cut ALPHA without Cousins. 18.4 points per game (WR3) averaging 119 receiving yards per game. Believe that whether it's Sam Darnold or 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy under center, believe this offensive infrastructure set up by Kevin O'Connell will fuel arguably the best WR in the NFL.
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5.
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET): St. Brown finished third with 247.5 points (16.5 per game). He had 112 receptions for 1,371 yards and 9 touchdowns, proving to be a reliable target with a 12.2 yards per reception average. In the season's entirety, St. Brown commanded a 30% target share (6th) and 34% air yards share. He finished 4th overall in total receiving EPA and 11th in total weighted opportunity.
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6.
A.J. Brown
PHI
A.J. Brown rounded out the top five WRs, scoring 237.2 points (14.8 per game). He had 105 receptions for 1,447 yards and 7 touchdowns, demonstrating his ability to make big plays with a longest catch of 59 yards. Brown's only blemish was he - like the Eagles' entire offense - did not finish strong. In weeks 11-17, even with Goedert out of the lineup for a handful of games, AJB was out-scored by DeVonta Smith as the WR25 and WR35 in points per game. If the Eagles' late-season collapse trickles over in 2024, Brown's production might take a hit.
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7.
Puka Nacua
LAR
Puka Nacua is so clearly the alpha in the Rams passing game. 9 catches for 181 yards and 2 TDs on 10 targets (29%) with 100 yards coming after the catch in his final game of his rookie season, capped off a historic rookie campaign that saw him break the receptions and receiving yards records for a first-year player. In his 18 games played, Nacua posted a 29% target share and 15.3 points per game (4th among all WRs). First in yards after the catch, 3rd in receiving EPA and 14th in weighted opportunity.
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8.
Garrett Wilson
NYJ
Garrett Wilson's 2023 peripheral metrics are tantalizing, with his actual production lackluster based on the horrible QB play in New York this past season. He finished with 95 receptions from a whopping 168 targets, amassing 1,042 receiving yards. Wilson only found the end zone three times. He wrapped up the year with 165.7 fantasy points in half-PPR formats, which placed him 31st overall among wide receivers, averaging 9.7 points per game (39th). Wilson was targeted on 30% of the Jets' passing plays, the 5th highest share in the league, and he led the NFL with a 46% air yards share. Assuming the Jets' quarterback play stabilizes and improves, Wilson's ceiling could rise even further in 2024.
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9.
Brandon Aiyuk
SF
Brandon Aiyuk operated as the more traditional WR1 in the 49ers offense in 2023, leading the team with nearly 1,500 receiving yards and 8 TDs in 19 games played despite a mediocre role in the red zone. He led the 49ers offense with a 24% target share and 39% air yards share (15th). 20th overall in weighted opportunity. Aiyuk averaged 12.4 fantasy points per game (WR19) finishing with career-highs across the board in his fourth season. Entering a contract year at age 26, we still may not have seen the best to come from Aiyuk fresh off a second consecutive top-15 WR finish in half-PPR. His efficiency numbers are off the charts as a top-5 finisher in yards per route run in 2023.
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10.
Deebo Samuel Sr.
SF
Deebo Samuel was electric during the fantasy football season, finishing as the fantasy WR12 overall in 15 games played averaging 14.2 points per game as the WR9.
The dominant YAC receiver ranked second on the team in target share (22%) and second in total TDs (12) with his dual usage as both a rusher/receiver. Samuel finished the year with the most total red-zone touches among all WRs. As we project Samuel into 2024, two things need to be strongly considered. First, his injury history is based on how physical of a player he is. Second, he may experience impending TD regression given he scored more fantasy points above expectation than any other WR from Weeks 1-17. He was the WR26 in expected points per game (10.9). His rushing production is difficult to rely on year-to-year, and Brandon Aiyuk is continuing his ascent into the top-tier WR conversation entering a contract year. |
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11.
Mike Evans
TB
Mike Evans ranked as the WR4 Iin 2023, totaling 239.3 points (14.4 per game, WR8). He caught 76 passes for 1,233 yards and 13 touchdowns, displaying his scoring prowess with a long catch of 75 yards. He re-signed a two-year deal with the Buccaneers, keeping his talents in Tampa Bay.
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12.
Chris Olave
NO
The usage metrics were ALL there for Chris Olave, who commanded a 25% target share and 40% air yards share (over 1,800 air yards, 8th). Olave made a significant impact with 87 receptions from 138 targets (12th), and he amassed 1,123 receiving yards (17th). He found the end zone 5 times ranked 21st among wide receivers in points per game. Nothing about Olave's talent suggests he should be a fantasy WR2, but that's likely going to be the case with Derek Carr back at QB. However, the duo showed glimpses of improvement in the second half of the season after the bye week as Olave ranked second in catchable target rate (89%) averaging 12.7 points per game (WR16).
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13.
Marvin Harrison Jr.
ARI
Marvin Harrison Jr. quickly ascended at Ohio State, transitioning from a freshman backup behind stars like Chris Olave and Garrett Wilson to a dominant force by his sophomore year. His breakout game came in his first start during the Rose Bowl, where he tallied 6 catches, 71 yards, and 3 touchdowns. Harrison's junior year was stellar, amassing 67 receptions for 1,211 yards and 14 TDs, which led to him being a Heisman Trophy finalist and winning the 2023 Fred Biletnikoff Award. Now as the Arizona Cardinals' WR1 with Kyler Murray throwing to him, Harrison is positioned to be a high-impact player, offering a strong, consistent target share. His collegiate performance, highlighted by a 44% dominator rating, underscores his capability as a top-tier fantasy wide receiver.
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14.
Davante Adams
LV
Davante Adams showed no signs of slowing down despite the QB carousel in Las Vegas. 45% air yard share (nearly 1,900 air yards, 2nd among all WRs) and a league-leading 33% target share with 103 catches on a whopping 175 targets, he notched 1,144 yards at an average of 11.1 yards per reception. Adams' ability to find the end zone was on full display as he secured 8 touchdowns, with the second-most red-zone targets in the NFL (29).
Adams racked up 213.9 points, averaging 12.6 points per game, which placed him as the 18th wide receiver in points per game and WR11 overall. Even at 31 years old, he's shown to still be QB-proof to be a high-end fantasy WR2. |
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15.
DJ Moore
CHI
D.J. Moore finished with 96 receptions on 136 targets, accumulating 1,364 receiving yards, and 8 touchdowns. These impressive numbers placed him as the 6th overall wide receiver in total fantasy points and 10th in fantasy points per game with an average of 14.0. More impressively, he captured a 43% air yards share within his team, the 4th highest in the league, and garnered a top-10 target share at 29%. His 6th place in weighted opportunity highlights his importance in the offensive scheme, combining targets and air yards to showcase his integral role in the Bears' passing game. A notable aspect of Moore's season was his performance with quarterback Justin Fields over 12 games. During this stretch, Moore averaged 16.8 points per game, demonstrating high-end WR1 production. He amassed over 1,100 yards and 8 touchdowns, with an impressive 91 receiving yards per game. Therefore, fantasy managers need to adjust expectations with Fields replaced by rookie Caleb Williams, that will likely hinder Moore's fantasy upside in 2024. As will the addition of a target machine, WR Keenan Allen and the 9th overall pick in this year's draft, Rome Odunze.
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16.
Nico Collins
HOU
Nico Collins' third-year breakout was truly remarkable. The former Michigan product had glimpses of potential in his first two seasons, but being paired with C.J. Stroud unlocked his fantasy ceiling in 2023. He was a YAC God. Nearly 1500 receiving yards with 1,370 air yards. 641 yards came after the catch. 24% target share. His 3.11 yards per route run ranked second among all WRs. Only three other players have accomplished this feat since 2017 - Tyreek Hill, Cooper Kupp and Julio Jones. Collins averaged 14.6 points per game in 17 games played in 2023 and 15.7 points per game in 15 games played alongside Stroud. Even if newly acquired veteran Stefon Diggs eats into Collins' target share, his efficiency should remain high with another viable weapon for the defense to be concerned about.
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17.
DK Metcalf
SEA
D.K. Metcalf finished 2023 with 66 receptions on 119 targets (23% target share), accumulating 1,114 yards and over 1,500 air yards (40% air yards share, 14th), averaging 16.9 yards per reception as the WR16 overall. 22nd in weighted opportunity. His longest catch of the season was a notable 73-yard play. He demonstrated his big-play capability with 37 receptions of 20+ yards (10th) and finished 20th in points per game (12.0). Metcalf scored 8 touchdowns, underlining his scoring prowess over 16 games with the 5th-most end-zone targets (15). He missed the first game of his NFL career in 2023. He's an Iron Man and a staple of consistency as high-end fantasy WR2.
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18.
Drake London
ATL
Drake London's usage numbers were strong in 2023, commanding a 23% target share and 31% air yards share. Over 1,200 air yards, 69 catches and 905 receiving yards, but with just 2 TDs. The lack of TDs positioned London as the WR39 overall, averaging just 8.7 points per game (WR46). Like many WRs, London's ceiling cannot be realized unless the Falcons improve their QB play. Until that happens, he's a talented real-life WR relegated to fantasy WR3 status. Hello, Kirk Cousins and (Michael Penix Jr.)
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19.
Jaylen Waddle
MIA
Tyreek Hill will be at the top of nearly every single fantasy football draft, whereas Jaylen Waddle will be drafted much later than in 2024 after his worst professional season to date. WR34 overall and WR24 in points per game (11.6). He still managed over 1,000 receiving yards in 14 games but he scored just 4 times. But his 24% target share was still excellent. He also posted his highest yards per route run (6th) and PFF receiving grade of his career (5th). Probably a sharp buy-low candidate.
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20.
Amari Cooper
CLE
Amari Cooper's season-long statistics were impressive during the fantasy football season despite playing with 4 different QBs. 10th in yards (1,250) and tied for second behind only Tyreek Hill in 20 yards gains (42). 10th-highest air yards share at 41%.
17th in points per game (12.7) as the WR18 overall through 17 games. But projecting Cooper ahead, we can look at his 5-game splits with Deshaun Watson has his QB. 23% target share, 42% air yards share were in-line with his full season long usage numbers. Averaged just under 100 receiving yards per game. 14.8 fantasy points per game (6th) and 15.7 expected fantasy points per game (15th). |
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21.
Michael Pittman Jr.
IND
Michael Pittman Jr. proved his alpha status all year long in the Colts offense with 109 receptions (7th) on 156 targets, accumulating 1,152 yards, averaging 10.6 yards per catch. Like Josh Downs, he had an equally bad TD production with only 4 TDs. Even so, in 16 games, racking up 195.7 fantasy points (WR15 overall), which averages out to 12.2 points per game (WR19). Nearly 1300 air yards (33% air yards share), with a 30% target share to boot - 4th-highest among all WRs. Pittman comes with a super-high floor that could be further unlocked with better TD variance in 2024. He will return to the Colts after signing a long-term contract extension.
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22.
DeVonta Smith
PHI
Over the last two seasons, DeVonta Smith has FEASTED when A.J. Brown or Dallas Goedert has missed games. This season, Smith was WR16 from Weeks 11-18 after DG got hurt. Including the postseason, Smith averaged 13.6 points per game (backend fantasy WR1 numbers). But before Week 11, Smith was WR25 overall averaging 10.9 points per game (WR29). Again, Smith's talent is undeniable, but it's clear that for him to be a fantasy WR1, somebody else in the Eagles passing game has to take a step back. Overall, Smith finished the year 20th in points per game (12.2) with a 24% target share.
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23.
Tee Higgins
CIN
Tee Higgins recorded 42 receptions from 76 targets, covering 656 yards with a notable average of 15.6 yards per reception. Demonstrating his big-play ability, Higgins had 14 receptions of 20+ yards to go along with a team-high 37% air yards share (17th) on just an 18% target share. He scored 5 touchdowns. Playing in 12 games, Higgins accumulated 116.6 fantasy points, averaging 9.7 points per game (WR40). He dealt with injuries throughout the season and failed to finish as a fantasy WR2 for the first time in the last three seasons. Ergo, 2023 stands out like a complete outlier for the 25-year-old WR, who will likely play for the Bengals for one more season after being franchise-tagged. The command of air yards shows that Higgins is still a dominant downfield receiver, as are the 4 games where he scored 20-plus fantasy points.
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24.
Tank Dell
HOU
Tank Dell posted an identical air yards share to Nico Collins (31%) while falling just short in target share (21%). Note that Dell posted over 1,000 air yards in just 10 games played.
In those games, Dell posted a 20.5% target share, 33% air yards share and 14.2 points per game. In the 8 games, Collins and Dell played together - each missed a game with injury - the production was nearly identical. 13.9 points per game for Collins and 14 points per game for Dell. |
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25.
Cooper Kupp
LAR
Many will point to the injuries Cooper Kupp has dealt with throughout the season, as a reason to be concerned about him moving forward. He hasn't looked like himself all season and he will be 31 in 2024. A lot of his production was salvaged by his 5 receiving TDs. Posted a career-low yards per route run (1.77). Kupp was WR27 in points per game in 2023 despite a 26% target share.
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26.
Stefon Diggs
HOU
2023 was a terrible year for Stefon Diggs. He was WR10 overall, but he averaged just 13 points per game as the WR15 in half-point scoring. And his lackluster finish is what had fantasy football gamers pulling their hair out. From Week 10 onward, Diggs was the WR45 averaging a meager 7.3 points and 42 receiving yards per game. This was right around the time the Bills swapped Joe Brady as their new offensive coordinator as Ken Dorsey was fired after Week 10's loss to the Denver Broncos. And it's not like Diggs wasn't seeing opportunities. On the year, the Bills' polarizing WR finished just below a 30% target share with over 1,800 air yards. 12th overall in weighted opportunity. Even during the bad finish, Diggs still had a 25% target share and strong route participation at 85%. That makes it tough to draft Diggs confidently coming off career-lows across the board entering his age 31 season. Even with C.J. Stroud as his QB, competition from both Tank Dell and Nico Collins could mark the end of Diggs' alpha WR status in fantasy football.
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27.
George Pickens
PIT
In four games with Mason Rudolph, George Pickens averaged a 24% target share, 44% air yards share, 14.6 fantasy points (backend fantasy WR1 numbers) and nearly 100 receiving yards per game. On the year, Pickens hauled in 63 receptions from 106 targets, accumulating 1,140 yards, which translated to a remarkable 18.1 yards per reception Weeks 1-18. Pickens closed out the season with 177.3 fantasy points, which gave him an impressive average of 10.3 points per game, ranking him 33rd among wide receivers in points per game. He finished with a 24% target share (6.5 targets per game) and 41% air yards share (13th in total air yards). Pickens offers a lot of upside if Pittsburgh can find the right guy under center. Russell Wilson offers much more upside than Kenny Pickett, given he is a threat to the throw the ball downfield (8th in deep ball rate in 2023). Pickens also will be true alpha in 2024, with Diontae Johnson traded to the Panthers. During the first 5 weeks of the 2023 season with DJ sidelined, Pickens was the WR13 in fantasy averaging 12.8 points per game (19th) with a 43% air yards share and 24% target share. Averaged nearly 80 receiving yards per game.
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28.
Zay Flowers
BAL
Rookie Zay Flowers emerged as Lamar Jackson's top target, hauling in 5 of his 8 targets (24% target share) for 115 yards and scoring the Ravens' lone receiving touchdown on a spectacular 54-yard play. As he has done all season, he was the clear-cut No. 1 WR for Baltimore. Flowers led the Ravens in air yards/target share (24%) in 2023, totaling over 1,000 air yards, 1,000 receiving yards and 6 receiving TDs (plus one rushing TD) on 86 catches in 18 games played in 2023. Although his final stat line as the WR29 overall and WR31 in points per game (10.7) suggest he left some production on the table. He finished 11th in route participation among all WRs (88%). Only 3 WRs with a route participation that high finished with fewer than 11 points per game.
Note that Flowers is reportedly under investigation for an alleged possible domestic assault, but he has not been charged with any crime at this time. |
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29.
Malik Nabers
NYG
Malik Nabers, emerging from a robust 3-year stint at LSU, led all college wide receivers with 86 receptions, 1,546 yards, and 14 touchdowns during his junior year, boasting a 34% dominator rating. Over his collegiate career, he totaled 186 receptions for 2,983 yards and 21 touchdowns, marked by a standout 28% career college dominator rating-third among 2024 draft class WRs. Notably, Nabers broke out as a freshman at 18, indicating significant potential for early professional success. Now with the New York Giants, he is poised to become the team's top receiver from the outset. His ability to generate yards after the catch (YAC) reassures concerns about the team's quarterback situation, enhancing his fantasy value.
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30.
Christian Kirk
JAC
Christian Kirk played an integral role in the Jaguars' passing game, with 57 receptions on 85 targets (21% target share) for 787 yards, averaging 13.8 yards per catch. Kirk found the end zone 3 times during the season. In 12 games, Kirk accumulated 121.8 fantasy points, averaging 11 points per game, positioning him as a reliable flex option in fantasy leagues. WR28 in points per game. When he and Calvin Ridley were both healthy, Kirk posted the higher target share at 21% as the WR23 overall. With Ridley replaced by the "can't earn targets" Gabe Davis and 1st-round rookie Brian Thomas Jr., Kirk projects as the WR1 in the Jaguars offense in target volume.
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31.
Jayden Reed
GB
I loved Jayden Reed coming out as a prospect and his rookie campaign makes me excited for what the future holds. He didn't always play a full-time role as the team's primary slot WR - sub 60% route participation - but he was always targeted heavily with a 25% target rate per route run. He also led all Packers WRs in fantasy points per game at 10.6 - good for WR31 status this past season. He averaged just under 2 yards per route run with ten total touchdowns scored.
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32.
Keenan Allen
CHI
Keenan Allen was a league winner. Third in points per game. WR8 overall. 3rd in target share at 31%. He will be 32 in 2024. In yet, he showed no signs of slowing down with Justin Herbert as his QB. But he will face new challenges in 2024, after being traded to the Bears for a 4th-round pick. Allen himself is hurt by the transaction, given the massive downgrade in QB play, while he battles father time past age 30. Allen's avoided the age cliff up to this point, but a brand new situation with rookie Caleb Williams could be the beginning of his downfall. Rome Odunze and D.J. Moore will be stiff target competition.
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33.
Rashee Rice
KC
Rashee Rice caught 105 balls for 1,200 yards in 20 games played in 2023 with 8 receiving TDs (19% target share). The former standout from SMU averaged 10.9 fantasy points per game - 29th. His role grew substantially after Week 6, and the rookie delivered averaging 12.1 points per game - placing him firmly inside the top 20. Rice finished the year with a 28% target rate per route run - 13th among all WRs last season. He was Patrick Mahomes's primary underneath option with the lowest average depth of target in the NFL among WRs (5.2). Rice finished the season 6th in targets inside the 10-yard line - more than Travis Kelce. The only "concern" for the Chiefs WR entering Year 2 is that Kansas City will be a favorite team to add more competition at the WR position. So far they have added Marquise Brown. And given Rice's new legal situation, he will likely be facing a mulit-game suspension, shrouding his availability for the start of the 2024 NFL season.
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34.
Calvin Ridley
TEN
Calvin Ridley secured a pivotal role in the Jaguars' offense, catching 76 passes on 136 targets for 1,016 yards, averaging 13.4 yards per reception. Nearly 1,800 air yards on a 22.5% target share and 36% air yards share. He scored 8 touchdowns.
Across 17 games, he totaled 191.9 fantasy points, averaging 11.3 points per game, making him a solid WR2 in fantasy formats. WR17 overall but WR26 in points per game. Ridley led the entire NFL in end zone targets (24). He was the WR10 in expected fantasy points per game. But he never fully took advantage of his elite opportunities to churn out a fantasy WR1 season. He signed with the Titans as a free agent, to be their new WR1 alongside DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins was a fringe fantasy WR1 in ppg with Will Levis at QB albeit in a run-heavy offense. Ridley's going to continue to have spiked weeks of production in a more pass-heavy centric offense heralded by new head coach Brian Callahan. Assuming that the Titans don't draft a top-tier rookie WR - still very much in play as Hopkins enters the final year of his career - a concentrated target share between Hopkins/Ridley would be ideal for fantasy purposes. It's possible that Tennessee might not value the TE position, given the Bengals' lack of TE production under Callahan the last several years. |
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35.
Terry McLaurin
WAS
With a final tally of 79 receptions on 132 targets, Terry McLaurin accrued 1,002 receiving yards, averaging 12.7 yards per reception. His longest reception was a 48-yard catch, contributing to his total of 23 catches of 20+ yards. He found the end zone 4 times, finishing the season with 163.7 fantasy points in half-PPR scoring, which placed him at 32nd overall among wide receivers and 41st in points per game with 9.6. McLaurin's utilization in the offensive scheme was reflected in his air yards metrics - he held the 23rd spot in air yards share with 35%, emphasizing his role as a deep threat in the team's offense. His total air yards exceeded 1500, ranking him 13th league-wide, a testament to the Commanders' trust in him to stretch the field. While his touchdowns could see an uptick with better quarterback play or offensive scheme changes, his steady reception and yardage totals make him a reliable WR2/3 at worst in 2024.
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36.
Jordan Addison
MIN
Jordan Addison ended the season with 70 receptions on 108 targets, amassing 911 yards at an average of 13 yards per reception. His long play of the season was a 62-yard catch. He was particularly effective in the red zone, scoring 10 touchdowns (5th) on a 17% target share. Totaled over 1,300 air yards. He played in all 17 games, contributing consistently to the Vikings' offense, with a total of 186.3 fantasy points, averaging about 11 points per game (WR28). Addison averaged slightly more points per game 12.2 (22% target share and 4 TDs) versus 10.1 (6 TDs) with Justin Jefferson sidelined. Considering the team will likely be without T.J. Hockenson to start the 2024 season coming off a torn ACL/MCL, Addison initially looked like a strong bet to return early low-end WR2 value in Year 2. However his stock will be hurt without Kirk Cousins under center in 2024.
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37.
Marquise Brown
KC
The 2024 free agent had a year to forget in 2023. He struggled with bad Cardinals quarterback play before Kyler Murray returned to the starting lineup as the WR21 overall and as the WR34 in points per game (10.2). But after Murray returned, the Cardinals WR still didn't produce. 5.8 points per game in three full healthy games before ultimately missing the remainder of the season due to injuries. Overall, Brown hauled in 51 receptions on 101 targets, accumulating 574 yards at an average of 11.3 yards per catch. He scored 109.2 points over the season, averaging 7.8 points per game (53rd) in 13 games played. The lack of production was shocking, considering Brown posted nearly 1,200 air yards, a 25% target share, and 39% air yards share with the 16th-highest weighted opportunity rating. But, it's hard to argue against him in the best possible landing spot to resurrect his career with Patrick Mahomes in an offense that needs playmakers not named Rice and Travis Kelce. He can use his speed to stretch the field and be a threat to get the ball, unlike Marquez Valdes-Scatling. But if he hits, it's likely as a fantasy WR2. And Brown's upside is further nerfed after the team drafted Xavier Worthy in the first round.
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38.
DeAndre Hopkins
TEN
DeAndre Hopkins showcased his elite receiving skills with 75 catches on 137 targets (28% target share), amassing 1,057 receiving yards, averaging 14.1 yards per reception. He proved to be a deep threat with a long reception of 61 yards and 27 catches of 20+ yards. 1,934 total air yards (42%) - the most of any WR during the regular season. Over 17 games, Hopkins scored a total of 186.1 fantasy points, averaging 10.9 points per game (29th) marking him as a dependable WR2 in fantasy lineups. WR22 overall. Specifically, with Will Levis under center, Hopkins posted a 27% target share, 46% air yards share and 13.4 fantasy points per game (WR13). And that came with a sub-50% catch rate. But with Calvin Ridley added to the fold as legitimate target competition, Hopkins' fantasy value takes a hit.
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39.
Diontae Johnson
CAR
Before the switch to Mason Rudolph from Week 7-13 (when Diontae Johnson returned healthy), DJ led the team with a 26% target share and 9.2 fantasy points per game.
After Johnson returned from his injury in Week 7, he was overall very effective regardless of the QB play. He led the team with a 23% target share (as he typically does) while scoring 5 TDs averaging 9.7 points per game and 14 expected fantasy points per game. Despite the Steelers' offensive transitions and his own injuries to overcome, Johnson maintained his productivity, finishing the season with 127.2 fantasy points, averaging 10 points per game, and ranking 36th in points per game. Now in Carolina, Johnson will project for a boatload of targets in an offense that fueled Adam Thielen to WR25 finish. Johnson will be at worst a fantasy WR3 with potential ceiling unlocked if Bryce Young can take a step forward in 2024. |
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40.
Christian Watson
GB
Christian Watson's sophomore season was completely derailed by hamstring injuries. He missed the first three weeks of the season entirely and struggled to put together any consistent production until his last three games in the regular season when he hurt his hamstring again. He scored four TDs, while averaging 17.1 points per game. Watson has a high ceiling when healthy as both a big-play and red-zone threat, but it cannot be realized until he solves his hamstring woes. Offseason reports have been positive regarding Watson's hamstring, providing some hope that he can put it together in Year 3 and recapture his rookie form that saw him post fringe fantasy WR1 numbers.
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41.
Chris Godwin
TB
Unlike Mike Evans, Godwin did not experience the same type of resurgence with Baker Mayfield at QB. At least when it comes to scoring fantasy points. Godwin led the Buccaneers with 91 catches for 1,1109 receiving yards, but he only caught 3 TDs...in 19 games played. Meanwhile, Evans totaled 14. His target share (23%) was nearly identical to Evans (25%). But it was the lack of high-value opportunities that nuked Godwin in fantasy football. As a result, he finished with under 10 fantasy points per game (outside top-36 WRs). No player scored fewer TDs with more receiving yards than Godwin. Based on his usage he should be closer to a total of double-digit scores versus the 3 TDs he has the past two years. Still, at 28 years old, Godwin could be in for a major bounce back if Evans leaves Tampa Bay in free agency.
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42.
Rome Odunze
CHI
Rome Odunze's tenure at Washington was characterized by steady progression, peaking in his junior year with 75 catches, 1,145 yards, and 7 TDs, and further elevating in 2023 with 81 receptions for 1,428 yards and 13 TDs, despite battling injuries. His senior performance earned him a spot on the AP first team and a career-high 33% dominator rating, placing him fourth in his draft class. Notably, Odunze had a breakout season at 19 during his sophomore year, underlining his early development. Drafted 9th overall by the Chicago Bears, he starts the season as the WR3 but has the potential to secure a more significant role as the year progresses. His blend of size, resilience, and early breakout age positions him as a promising fantasy asset.
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43.
Xavier Worthy
KC
Xavier Worthy of the University of Texas has quickly made a name for himself with his standout speed and playmaking prowess. At 6 feet 1 inch and 172 pounds, Worthy distinguished himself early, notching 62 receptions for 981 yards and 12 touchdowns in his freshman year. He capped off his college career with over 1,000 yards and 5 touchdowns in his junior year, securing a 30% career dominator rating-the second highest in his class-and the youngest breakout age at 18. His abilities have drawn comparisons to DeSean Jackson, both from Chiefs Head Coach Andy Reid and draft analyst Thor, underscoring his potential impact. Set to join the Chiefs, Worthy is expected to compete for a significant role, particularly with the possibility of an expanded opportunity if teammate Rashee Rice faces a suspension.
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44.
Courtland Sutton
DEN
Without any ideas about who the Broncos QB will be in 2024, it's hard to make firm stances about Courtland Sutton. But, Sutton likely won't benefit from the same TD production for 2 years in a row. This past season made a mend for 2022 when he was so horrible at scoring. But now that things have leveled out, after a back-to-back 2-TD season with 10 scores, we are looking more at him in the 4-6 TD range for 2024. And that's going to make things tougher on him, because aside from TDs, Sutton's usage wasn't as great as the WR35 overall. IN fact, it looks pretty similar to Jerry Jeudy's aside from the TDs (10 vs 2). Both guys had 1,000-plus air yards (36% vs 37%), around 90 targets (21% vs 20%), 750-plus receiving yards and just under 60 receptions. But with Jeudy traded to the Browns, that should cement Sutton's floor as the team's projected No. 1 WR regardless fo QB play. Per John Daigle of 4for4, Sutton has a 23% target share without Jeudy the last 3 seasons.
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45.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA
In his first season, JSN managed 63 receptions from 93 targets (17.5% target share), totaling 628 yards with an average of 10 yards per reception. Smith-Njigba scored 4 touchdowns, indicating his growing role in the Seahawks' offensive scheme. 59th in points per game (7.0) and WR48 overall. But it shouldn't be forgotten that Smith-Njigba suffered a wrist injury that contributed to a slow start. He started to hit his stride more from Week 6 onward where he averaged 8.2 points per game. But still over this span, his route participation (74%, 50th) and high-end target competition made it tough for JSN to produce. With more opportunities in 2024 at just 22 years old, Smith-Njigba is an easy breakout candidate.
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46.
Jameson Williams
DET
Jameson Williams has had a tumultuous two years in the NFL. His rookie year was lost because of a torn ACL, and this year started out slow because of a suspension. When he's been on the field, he's teased big-play upside with a lot of inconsistencies and injuries. Entering Year 3, the former first-rounder will likely be viewed as a logical breakout candidate. After all, the WR2 job should be all his with Josh Reynolds slated to hit free agency. But he's hardly without his warts with just a 10% target share earned, 15% target rate per route run and 6.4 points per game scored in 2023 (WR66 same as Reynolds).
Williams might be overrated heading into 2024, because of his draft capital. But everything he showed in his second season suggests he still has a long way to go, especially as the "at best" third or fourth receiving option on the Lions. |
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47.
Tyler Lockett
SEA
Tyler Lockett is past his prime and he showed it all year long with his very inconsistent play. 43rd in points per game (9.6) and WR33 overall despite a strong 22% target share and over 1,300 air yards. He failed to crack the top 30 WRs for the first time since 2017. It was also the first time he failed to match or exceed D.K. Metcalf in fantasy points.
Lockett recorded 79 receptions on 122 targets, totaling 894 receiving yards at an average of 11.3 yards per catch. He found the end zone 5 times. Lockett is also a logical cut candidate with him due nearly $28M against the salary cap in 2024 and 2025. Seattle has an "out" in his contract for 2024. Entering his age-32 season, you don't need to squint to see the potential fall for Lockett in fantasy football. |
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48.
Mike Williams
NYJ
Mike Williams was signed to a one-year deal worth $15 million by Gang Green, but he's going to be 30 years old coming off a Week 3 torn ACL. It's another band-aid fix that shouldn't dramatically alter the Jets' draft plans on a WR.
For what it's worth, Big Mike was productive before he got hurt. Ranked as WR15 overall and WR17 in points per game. Williams can at least slide in as the immediate No. 2 behind Garrett Wilson. |
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49.
Ladd McConkey
LAC
Ladd McConkey emerged in his third season at Georgia as a redshirt sophomore, achieving 762 receiving yards and seven touchdowns with a 20% dominator rating, despite a late breakout at 21 years old. Competing for targets with Brock Bowers, one of college football's top tight ends, and ahead of 2024 second-round pick AD Mitchell on the depth chart, McConkey demonstrated his capability, especially in the two games without Bowers in 2023, posting his highest yardage totals. Although injuries impacted his final year's stats, he remained efficient, ranking 8th nationally in yards per route run (3.26). Known for his quickness and polished route-running rather than size, McConkey's agility and speed, highlighted by a sub-4.4 40-yard dash at the combine, make him a promising professional prospect. Drafted by the Chargers who traded up in Round 2, he enters a team with a weak WR corps, positioning him to potentially lead in targets.
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50.
Keon Coleman
BUF
Keon Coleman stands out at 6'4" and 215 lbs, embodying the ideal traits of an outside X-receiver. His junior year at Florida State marked a continuation of his upward trajectory with 50 receptions, 658 yards, and 11 touchdowns, earning a 31% dominator rating. Coleman initially broke out during his sophomore season at Michigan State, where he logged 58 catches for 798 yards and seven touchdowns, notching a 29% dominator rating at just 19 years old. Notably, he outperformed Jayden Reed, a future NFL prospect, in every category despite being three years younger. Drafted in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft, Coleman joins a team with a strong quarterback and a depth chart he is well-positioned to climb, suggesting a promising start to his NFL career.
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51.
Jakobi Meyers
LV
Jakobi Meyers' underrated talent was on full display all season in 2023, as the first-year Raider scored 8 receiving TDs (10 total) on a 21% target share and 15 red-zone targets (23rd). After failing comically to find the end zone as a member of the Patriots for most of his time spent there, Meyers couldn't stop scoring in 2023. This will likely regress next season as he scored four more TDs over expectation. Meyers accumulated 183.1 fantasy points over the season, resulting in an average of 11.4 points per game, ranking him 25th among wide receivers in points per game
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52.
Romeo Doubs
GB
Doubs followed up on decent rookie campaign with an improved second season. He was a consistent presence in the Packers' passing game, recording 69 receptions on 105 targets for 908 yards.
Doubs found the end zone 9 times, proving to be a valuable red zone target. Over 19 games, he averaged 9.4 points per game (WR47), making him a solid WR4 in fantasy leagues. He benefitted greatly from TDs and injuries to other primary Packers pass-catchers. Worth noting that he also failed to take full advantage of the vast opportunity in the offense, scoring fewer than his expected output (11.1 per game). |
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53.
Brian Thomas Jr.
JAC
Brian Thomas Jr. burst onto the scene in his junior year at LSU, demonstrating impressive growth with a 33% dominator rating, leading the FBS with 17 touchdowns, and accumulating 1,177 yards over 68 receptions, at an average of 17.3 yards per catch. At 6'4" and 205 lbs with a 4.47-second 40-yard dash, he fits the prototype of a boundary X-receiver. Despite not being the primary focus in LSU's offense, Thomas still managed the 6th-highest college dominator rating in his draft class at 24%, often competing for targets with fellow standout Malik Nabers. Drafted by the Jaguars in the first round of the 2024 NFL Draft, Thomas is positioned to inherit a significant volume of targets left by Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones, potentially nearing or surpassing 100 targets. This volume, coupled with his physical attributes and track record, positions him as a promising rookie in fantasy football, though his weekly consistency may vary due to Jacksonville's diverse offensive weapons.
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54.
Gabe Davis
JAC
Gabriel Davis did not play in the final two games of the Bills' season. The 2024 free agent will hit the open market in a relatively weak WR free agent class, which will likely create the demand for the extremely boom-or-bust WR. He finished the season as the WR40 in total points, averaging 8.2 points per game as the WR50. Davis posted 5 games with 20-plus fantasy points in 2023 to go along with 7 TDs and 1,200 air yards (30th), but he also went completely catch less in four of his last 8 games played. Even if he goes to a new team where he can improve on his 2023 15% target share (85th), Davis' body of work as a boom-or-bust player will be hard to knock. One could argue that with a step back with Trevor Lawrence has his new QB, his spiked weeks might also not be nearly as big even if he is slightly more consistent on a week-to-week basis. The latter is also hardly a lock, given the depth the Jaguars have across their several established pass-catchers. They also drafted a better version of Davis in the draft, in the form of Brian Thomas Jr.
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55.
Curtis Samuel
BUF
Curtis Samuel finished the 2023 season as the WR44 overall, averaging 7.9 fantasy points per game as the WR52 in points per game (7.9). Par for the course when it comes to Samuel, who always seems to string together consecutive weeks of production before seeing his numbers drop off because of injury.
His receiving numbers were nearly identical to his 2020 campaign, albeit he was more efficient as the Commanders primary slot WR. Unfortunately, he was barely used as a rusher with only 7 carries compared to 38 in 2022. Entering his age 28 season, Samuel has never finished higher than WR25 at any point during his career, regulating him to WR4 fantasy status regardless of any new landing spot. He will have his fair share of productive weeks, but nothing to move the needle as a fantasy game-changer. However it needs to be noted his best season came in 2020 under Joe Brady, his new OC in Buffalo. Attached to Josh Allen in a full-time role, Samuel has nice sleeper appeal in the Bills offense, especially with Stefon Diggs traded to the Houston Texans. |
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56.
Jerry Jeudy
CLE
Jeudy, showcased his route running finesse and quickness, turning his 54 receptions on 87 targets into 758 receiving yards, averaging 14 yards per catch in 2023. However, finding the end zone was less frequent for Jeudy, with only 2 touchdowns to his name. Over the season, he accumulated 114.8 fantasy points, coming out to an average of 7.2 points per game to a WR50 overall finish. Both Courtland Sutton and Jeudy had 1,000-plus air yards (36% vs 37%), around 90 targets (21% vs 20%), 750-plus receiving yards and just under 60 receptions. Hard to see Jeudy breaking the fantasy WR3 mold unless we get elite QB play from Deshaun Watson, in addition to the newcomer playing/earning a full-time role.
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57.
Rashid Shaheed
NO
Rashid Shaheed enjoyed a solid sophomore season, as a boom-or-bust option. He totaled over 1,000 air yards on just 75 targets (14% target share). Shaheed excelled in making big plays, as seen in his 31 catches of over 20 yards (14th). He scored 132.6 fantasy points, averaging 8.3 points per game. Shaheed was ranked 49th among wide receivers in points per game.
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58.
Brandin Cooks
DAL
Brandin Cooks ended the season as the WR45 in points per game (9.1) and WR36 overall. After his sluggish start, Cooks was unlocked from Week 6 onward as we saw the Dallas offense start to click. WR22 overall and WR28 in points per game (11.2).
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59.
Josh Downs
IND
Josh Downs made a notable impact in his rookie season with 68 receptions from 98 targets (17% target share), totaling 771 yards at an average of 11.3 yards per reception. Note that he was very unlucky when it came to scoring, with just two TDs. Only Drake London had more receiving yards and fewer than 3 TDs than Downs did in 2023. As a result, over 17 games, he amassed 123.1 fantasy points, averaging 7.2 points per game (WR46). But it should recognized that Downs' production fell off after he suffered a knee injury that lingered. Weeks 1-8, Downs led the Colts in yards per route run (2.0), averaging 9.9 points per game with a 19% target share.
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60.
Jahan Dotson
WAS
Curtis Samuel is a free agent and could leave in free agency. This is important, because it suggests that we could have live for Jahan Dotson in Year 3. Dotson broke out as a rookie, but was a TOTAL BUST in 2023. And he ran all the routes you could possibly ask for. Garrett Wilson and teammate Terry McLaurin were the only guys who ran more routes than Dotson did in 2023. He was brutally inefficient - as was the entire Commanders passing game that was more volume over efficiency - finishing bottom-10 in yards per route run. But Samuel missed or played very little in 3 games in 2023 - Weeks 8,9, and 11. These were by FAR Dotson's best games. 15.2 points per game with a TD scored in all 3 contests. Still was narrowly out targeted by McLaurin as the No. 2 WR. McLaurin and Dotson need a C.J. Stroud-esque rookie QB impact for them to take any leap for fantasy football. Don't hold your breath.
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61.
Khalil Shakir
BUF
Khalil Shakir tied a bow on his second season on an extremely high note. He showed up big in the absence of Gabe Davis, catching 16 of 17 targets for 180 yards and 2 TDs over the last three games of the season. Shakir finished the season with the NFL's highest catch rate (88%) and passer rating generated (141.5). He led the Bills in receiving EPA, and ranked 16th overall in that category among all NFL receivers. He has definitely "earned" a bigger role in the offense in 2024, but he will still have to compete for targets with second-round rookie, Keon Coleman.
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62.
Joshua Palmer
LAC
Difficult to not view Josh Palmer as a legitimate winner after the Chargers moved on from both Mike Williams and Keenan Allen in the same offseason. Palmer stepped up big time in the Chargers offense last season when Williams/Allen missed time. In Week 18, he commanded 10 targets despite a 58% snap share. During the season, he posted an 18% target share and averaged 1.89 yards per route run. In games played without Williams fully healthy, Palmer averaged 10.6 points per game. During the final three games of the year with neither Williams or Allen or Justin Herbert available, Palmer hit a 20% target share and 23% target rate per route run averaging 11.5 points per game (WR25). The Chargers will draft a WR, so don't go crazy with Palmer. But note that he is still a solid in-house option on the roster at WR. Not Quentin Johnston.
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63.
Adonai Mitchell
IND
Adonai Mitchell had a standout season with the Texas Longhorns, achieving a 32% dominator rating with 11 touchdowns from 55 receptions. Standing at 6'2" and weighing 204 pounds, his physique is well-suited for an outside receiver role. Mitchell's performance at the NFL Combine was impressive, featuring a 4.34-second 40-yard dash, a 1.52-second 10-yard split, a 39.5-inch vertical jump, and a 136-inch broad jump, drawing comparisons to D.J. Chark Jr. Drafted by the Colts in the second round, Mitchell is expected to fill Alec Pierce's role in Shane Steichen's offense and complement Anthony Richardson's strong arm as a deep threat. However, with Michael Pittman Jr. established as the primary target and Josh Downs likely the second option, Mitchell's role may be limited to being the third receiver, focusing on high-value, downfield catches. This setup might make him a valuable asset in best-ball formats for occasional high-scoring weeks, but he might not provide consistent weekly fantasy points.
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64.
Marvin Mims Jr.
DEN
A low-key winner of the Jerry Jeudy trade is second-year Broncos WR, Marvin Mims. Mims' role was redundant with Jeudy's last season, hence his limited playing time. His overall lackluster rookie year was tough due to lack of opportunity. He ran a route on 41% of the dropbacks - that outside the top 100. And we did see flashes with a 100-yard effort in his second game, along with another 73-yard game when he earned a season-high 5 targets back in Week 3. Was also named Second-Team All-Pro as a returner. Leave the light on for Mims to take off in Year 2 should he play starting snaps, which is much more likely with Jeudy gone.
Broncos HC Sean Payton said at the 2024 NFL Scouting Combine, that Mims' progression as a receiver was hindered because he played the same role as Jeudy. WR depth on Denver hurt Mims. Payton also said they were generally happy when they did get Mims involved - duh - and that should continue in Year 2. However, Payton went against his word when he drafted Troy Franklin in the 2024 NFL Draft. He suggested slotting Franklin as the Z, which is the role Jeudy played last season. WOOF. |
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65.
Quentin Johnston
LAC
After a disappointing rookie season, Quentin Johnston's fantasy value is on life support. The team moved on from Keenan Allen/Mike Williams, but drafted rookie WR Ladd McConkey 34th overall.
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66.
Michael Wilson
ARI
The highlight of Week 18? Rookie Michael Wilson.
6 targets (21% target share), 6 receptions for 95 yards, averaging 15.8 yards per catch, with a long of 28 yards. 68 air yards and 40% air yards share. The rookie posted a very under-the-radar campaign as a highly involved Cardinals WR. He ran a route on 80% of the dropbacks (35th among all WRs) which locks him into a full-time role in this offense next season, regardless of any additional moves they make. He also finished his season on an extremely high note, averaging 15.5 points per game after his last two contests with Marquise Brown out of the lineup. |
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67.
Adam Thielen
CAR
Adam Thielen's 2023 season provided the full-body experience of an older veteran WR with zero competition for targets. He started out of the gates red hot, as the WR11 overall through 11 weeks, scoring fantasy points per game at a top-15 rate at 13.7. But alas the 33-year-old could not continue his production with shoddy QB play from his rookie QB. WR51 from Weeks 12-18. Woof. With 103 receptions (10th) on 137 targets (25% target share, 14th), Thielen racked up 1,014 receiving yards, averaging 9.8 yards per reception, and notched 4 touchdown receptions running the 5th-most routes in the NFL. He ended the season with a 10.6 points per game average, securing him as the 25th overall wide receiver in half-PPR scoring. WR31 per game. He's under contract until 2026 and will be entering the offseason as the Panthers' No. 1 WR until they add more WRs in the draft/free agency - the latter of which will likely happen based on the Panthers' interest before this past year's trade deadline.
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68.
Dontayvion Wicks
GB
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69.
Ricky Pearsall
SF
Ricky Pearsall excelled at Arizona State and later at Florida, posting a dominator rating of 25% in his final season with 963 receiving yards. After a notable college career, he impressed at the NFL Combine with a 4.41-second 40-yard dash, a 42-inch vertical, and strong agility metrics. Drafted in the first round, Pearsall's mature route-running and reliable hands make him a ready-to-contribute player in the NFL. While he has a high floor due to his refined skills and physical tests, his potential ceiling may be limited by the depth and talent of his NFL team's receiver corps, especially if teammates like Samuel and Aiyuk remain prominent in the offense.
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70.
Troy Franklin
DEN
Troy Franklin capped his junior year at Oregon with nearly 1,400 yards and 14 touchdowns, showcasing his deep-threat capabilities with a 29% dominator rating. Despite concerns about his slender frame at 6-foot-3 and 183 lbs, his rumored 4.35-second 40-yard dash underscores his potential as a top-tier receiver. Drafted on Day 3 by the Broncos after a disappointing combine, Franklin finds a favorable situation under Sean Payton, who has a history of trading up for wide receivers like Brandin Cooks and Marvin Mims. Positioned to play the "Z" role previously held by Jerry Jeudy, Franklin's existing chemistry with Broncos QB Bo Nix, his former college teammate, could give him an edge over other young receivers like Marvin Mims, enhancing his opportunity to make an immediate impact.
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71.
DeMario Douglas
NE
Demario Douglas was essentially 2023's version of Jakobi Meyers - a completely afterthought of rookie WR that made an impact that could not score a TD to save his life. Case in point, his team leading 561 receiving yards were the most among all players to score 0 TDs in 2023.
Therefore, his final WR68 standing does a poor job projecting him going forward. He was the best playmaker on the Patriots all season. 18% target share. Earned 7 targets in his first NFL game. 5-plus targets in his 9 games played, seeing 7-plus in over half those contests. From Week 7 onward, Douglas produced a 21% target share (27th), 25% air yards share, 11 missed tackles and 12.6 expected fantasy points per game (31st). Slightly behind Rashee Rice. Despite his strong showing, the Patriots drafted 2 WR in this year's draft. |
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72.
Rashod Bateman
BAL
The Baltimore Ravens signed wide receiver Rashod Bateman to a 2-year contract through the 2026 season.
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73.
Ja'Lynn Polk
NE
Ja'Lynn Polk emerged as a key player at Washington, particularly impressing during his junior year. Standing at 6'1" and weighing 203 lbs, Polk's physique is ideal for versatility, allowing him to excel both outside and in the slot. After overcoming an injury in his sophomore year, he delivered a stellar senior season with 69 receptions for 1,159 yards and nine touchdowns, averaging 16.8 yards per catch. Known for his quickness, strong hands, and excellent body control, Polk consistently makes difficult catches in traffic, showcasing his well-rounded skills. Drawing comparisons to NFL players like Mohamed Sanu, Tyler Boyd, and Joshua Palmer, Polk is considered a safe, reliable receiver. Selected in the second round of the 2024 NFL Draft by the Patriots, he is poised to become a dependable part of their passing game.
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74.
Xavier Legette
CAR
Xavier Legette, a standout wide receiver from South Carolina, made his mark in college football with exceptional performances, especially during his super senior year. At 6'3" and 227 lbs, Legette combines size and athleticism, ideal for an outside receiver role. Known for his strong hands and ability to secure catches in traffic, he doesn't rely on his body to catch the ball, which underscores his reliability. Legette broke out in his fifth year with a 35% dominator rating, accumulating 1,255 yards and seven touchdowns on 71 receptions. While entering the NFL at 23 as a one-year wonder does present concerns about his consistency, his physical attributes are reminiscent of players like D.K. Metcalf, highlighting his potential but also his dependence on the right team setup. Drafted in the first round by the Carolina Panthers, who see his fit in an offense designed to leverage his playmaking and yards-after-catch skills under new HC Dave Canales, Legette's success may hinge significantly on how well he's utilized in the Panthers' scheme.
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75.
Darnell Mooney
ATL
Darnell Mooney is coming off a horrible and injury-plagued season, but I can't help but think he is going to be a STEAL in a very bad WR free agent class on a new team. The Bears drafted Tyler Scott in the 2023 draft to be Mooney's replacement in 2024. Mooney finished the season 10th in yards after the catch per reception (6.0) despite entering the year coming off a late November broken ankle injury.
Mooney shined his brightest from 2021-2022 in the NFL with a 27% target share. He has shown the ability to command targets at a high level. In Atlanta, there is nobody behind Drake London, cementing Mooney as the clear-cut WR2 in a Kirk Cousins-led offense. |
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76.
Elijah Moore
CLE
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77.
Jermaine Burton
CIN
Jermaine Burton's collegiate career took a notable turn during his senior year at Alabama, achieving a 30% dominator rating at 22 years old. Initially at Georgia, Burton showed promise, posting a 19% dominator rating in his first year at Alabama with 677 yards and 7 TDs, after a competitive stint at Georgia where he battled for targets with players like George Pickens and Brock Bowers. His standout traits include a significant downfield role, evidenced by a 20.2 average depth of target (aDOT) - third highest in the FBS in 2023 - and excellent efficiency, leading all WRs in the 2024 class in yards per route run with zero drops. Drafted by the Bengals in the third round, Burton is poised for a rising stock, especially with speculation around Tee Higgins' future with the team. Despite concerns over occasional off-field issues, Burton's explosive skill set and the opportunity in Cincinnati's passing game could make him a key player to watch, assuming he navigates his professional landscape effectively.
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78.
Wan'Dale Robinson
NYG
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79.
Jalin Hyatt
NYG
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80.
Javon Baker
NE
Javon Baker's journey saw a significant shift after transferring from Alabama to UCF, where he stood out during his final two seasons with dominator ratings of 23% and 31%. At 6-foot-1 and 202 pounds, Baker distinguished himself as a big-play threat, leading to the second-highest average of yards per reception nationally (21.9) in 2023 and ranking fifth in yards per route run among his draft class. Often compared to DeVonta Smith for his route-running and body control, Baker adds more size and yards-after-catch ability. Drafted by the Patriots in the fourth round, he enters a team with a relatively weak receiver depth chart, positioning him as a potential standout. Despite being selected after Ja'Lynn Polk, Baker's ability to consistently make plays downfield, evidenced by his top performance in deep-target metrics, suggests a higher ceiling and the potential to become a leading figure in New England's passing attack.
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81.
Darius Slayton
NYG
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82.
Roman Wilson
PIT
Roman Wilson's standout senior year at Michigan culminated in a 37% dominator rating, as he gathered 48 receptions for 789 yards and 12 touchdowns, marking it as the 6th-highest single-season dominator rating in the 2024 class. Despite concerns about his late breakout at 22 and only one significant year of production, Wilson's draft stock rose after impressing at the Senior Bowl and running a sub-4.40 40-yard dash at the NFL Scouting Combine. He has drawn comparisons to Tyler Lockett, reflecting his ability as a deep threat-53% of his routes were downfield. However, his fantasy outlook is tempered by joining a Pittsburgh Steelers offense, which is expected to lean heavily on the run under new OC Arthur Smith, coupled with their recent investments in the offensive line, casting some doubt on the volume of passing opportunities Wilson will receive.
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83.
Treylon Burks
TEN
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84.
Malachi Corley
NYJ
Malachi Corley demonstrated consistent productivity at Western Kentucky, particularly excelling in creating yards after the catch. Despite his smaller stature, his thick frame allowed him to navigate through defenses effectively. However, concerns arise regarding his play style being more akin to a running back than a traditional receiver. Coupled with doubts about the Jets' offensive creativity, Corley's potential may be limited in their system. Despite being a third-round pick, I'd exercise caution in investing in him for fantasy purposes.
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85.
Jonathan Mingo
CAR
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86.
Demarcus Robinson
LAR
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87.
Kendrick Bourne
NE
The Patriots re-signed Kendrick Bourne to a 3-year, $19.5 million contract. He will be 29 years old in 2024, coming off a Week 8 torn ACL injury. Before his injury, Bourne was the fantasy WR28 averaging 10.2 points per game in half-PPR (38th). Led the Patriots with a 19.4% target share with a 28% air yards share. He will likely be in the starter's chair until a rookie or younger WR usurps him on the depth chart.
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88.
Rondale Moore
ATL
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89.
A.T. Perry
NO
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90.
Devontez Walker
BAL
Devontez Walker's college career showcased his explosiveness and knack for making big plays, especially evident in his remarkable dominator rating at Kent State. Despite his impressive physical attributes and speed, Walker's limitations in generating yards after the catch are notable. Drawing comparisons to Marvin Jones, he presents significant upside but also carries a boom-or-bust label, highly dependent on his landing spot for optimal performance. Joining the Ravens in the fourth round offers him the opportunity to work with Lamar Jackson, but he faces competition for targets in a crowded receiving corps led by Zay Flowers and Mark Andrews. Walker's success in the NFL may hinge on his ability to carve out a role in a balanced offensive scheme.
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91.
Alec Pierce
IND
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92.
Jalen McMillan
TB
Jalen McMillan showcased significant potential at Washington, breaking out in his second season with a 19% dominator rating and further elevating his performance in 2022 to achieve 1,098 receiving yards and 9 TDs, leading to a 25% dominator rating. His success came despite sharing targets with future NFL prospects Rome Odunze and Ja'Lynn Polk, where he led the Huskies in targets and receptions that year. However, his role diminished in the following season due to injuries and a reduced downfield role in Washington's vertical offense, limiting his production. Despite these challenges, McMillan's early breakout and strong route-running skills, particularly from the slot where he played over 89% of snaps in the last two seasons, highlight his readiness for the NFL. Drafted by the Buccaneers in the third round, he has a clear path to becoming the WR3 this season and potentially WR2 by 2025, especially in a team that could leverage his abilities in the slot.
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93.
Tyler Boyd
FA
Boyd had 67 receptions on 98 targets, totaling 667 receiving yards at an average of 10 yards per catch, with a long catch of 64 yards. Boyd found the end zone twice. Over 17 games, Boyd earned 112.3 fantasy points, averaging 6.6 points per game as the WR64 in points per game. He will likely be a nice depth piece for a new team in 2024, and possibly provide some early in-season production as he turns 30 years old.
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94.
K.J. Osborn
NE
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95.
Zay Jones
FA
Jones had a moderate impact with 34 receptions on 64 targets, gathering 321 yards at an average of 9.4 yards per reception. He was hurt the entire season with three different injuries, so I'd call his 2023 campaign a wash. Playing in 9 games, he earned 61.1 fantasy points with 2 TDs, averaging 6.8 points per game. WR62 in points per game. I'd look more at his final four games as a better representation of what we can expect from a healthy Jones. Without Kirk, Jones averaged 8 fantasy points per game and 17.3 expected points per game. Similar to Calvin Ridley, there was a stark difference between expected and actual production. He was released by the Jaguars after the 2024 NFL Draft.
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96.
Jacob Cowing
SF
Jacob Cowing, though lacking in size at under 5-foot-9 and 168 pounds, compensates with exceptional speed, agility, and precise route-running, making him a constant threat on the field. With a career dominator rating of 32%, Cowing's dominance at Arizona and UTEP is undeniable, highlighted by elite single-season marks of 42% and 41% in 2020 and 2021 respectively. Despite concerns about his size, his senior year showcased his ability to stretch the field and create after the catch, amassing 89 receptions for 868 yards and 13 touchdowns. While a Senior Bowl injury may have dampened his stock, Cowing's K.J. Hamler-esque profile and sub-4.4 speed make him an intriguing prospect, particularly in a Kyle Shanahan-style offense like the one in San Francisco, where undersized receivers have thrived before.
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97.
Josh Reynolds
DEN
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98.
Trey Palmer
TB
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99.
Brenden Rice
LAC
Brenden Rice brings a compelling combination of size, athleticism, and football pedigree to the wide receiver position, standing out with his 6'3" frame and impressive physical presence. While his collegiate journey included a breakout season at Colorado and a productive senior year at USC, his final season dominator rating fell slightly below expectations. Nevertheless, Rice's ability to make an impact in the red zone and his proficiency in catching touchdowns highlight his potential as a scoring threat at the next level. His comparison to Josh Palmer underscores the importance of his quarterback and offensive situation in maximizing his impact on the field. Joining the Chargers in the seventh round presents Rice with an opportunity to continue his development and carve out a role in their offense.
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100.
DJ Chark Jr.
LAC
The 27-year-old is hitting free agency (again) after playing a complimentary role with the Panthers in 2023. Chark caught a long pass that was initially ruled a TD in Week 18, but it was overturned to a fumble through the end zone. Woof. He is a free agent in 2024 and will likely land on a new team as a complimentary deep threat who misses games with injuries.
Chark was the WR58 overall in 2023, averaging 6.5 points per game (65th). He led the Panthers in TDs (5) and posted over 1,000 air yards on a team-high 31% air yards share (33rd). No player had more air yards with fewer targets (66) than Chark despite two missed games. D.J. Chark signed with the Chargers after the NFL Draft to a one-year deal worth $5 million. |
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101.
Cedric Tillman
CLE
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102.
Odell Beckham Jr.
MIA
Beckham just turned 31 years old and did not live up to his contract expectations as a Raven in 2023. WR63 overall averaging 6.4 fantasy points per game (WR67). However, he still had his moments averaging 1.8 yards per route run - identical to his averages during his time spent in Cleveland from 2019-2020. Top-30 WR in PFF receiving grade with a top-3 ADOT among WRs as a primary deep threat in the Ravens' offense. And once OBJ got his sea legs under him - after Week 8 - he started to show out more and more. 18th in yards per route run (2.3). He's not completely washed and still can provide some fantasy juice in a favorable offensive environment. He signed a 1-year deal with the Dolphins this offseason.
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103.
Andrei Iosivas
CIN
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104.
DeVante Parker
PHI
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105.
Kadarius Toney
KC
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106.
Michael Gallup
LV
Signed with the Raiders in free agency after being released by the Dallas Cowboys.
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107.
Noah Brown
HOU
|
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108.
Michael Thomas
FA
|
|
109.
Robert Woods
HOU
|
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110.
Tyler Scott
CHI
|
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111.
Hunter Renfrow
FA
|
|
112.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling
FA
|
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113.
Luke McCaffrey
WAS
Luke McCaffrey's brother was the final pick in Round 3 by the Washington Commanders. They were in need of a slot WR, and the younger LMC can fill that void in Kliff Kingsbury's offense. McCaffrey has not been playing WR for very long, but possesses elite athletic bloodlines that have helped him make the switch.
Usually, you don't chase the draft capital of WRs that go well ahead of consensus, but McCaffrey's Day 2 draft capital needs to put fantasy managers on notice. In his final season at Rice, he commanded a 30% target share (5th) and ranked 9th in total unique routes run. |
|
114.
Tutu Atwell
LAR
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115.
Allen Lazard
NYJ
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116.
Greg Dortch
ARI
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117.
Malik Washington
MIA
Malik Washington, standing at 5-foot-8 and weighing 191 pounds, made a significant impact in his final college season at Virginia, after transferring from Northwestern. He achieved an impressive 47% dominator rating, led the 2024 draft class with a 38% target share, and accumulated nearly 1,400 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, earning him the second-highest PFF grade of 92.4 among WRs. Washington's exceptional performance continued into the NFL Combine, where he led his class with a 42.5-inch vertical jump (98th percentile), showcasing his remarkable athleticism despite his shorter stature. Drafted by the Dolphins in the sixth round, his skills as a YAC (yards after catch) specialist make him a promising addition to an offense that already features dynamic playmakers like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle. Coach Mike McDaniel's enthusiasm for Washington suggests he could significantly exceed expectations, benefiting from both opportunity and a quarterback capable of enhancing his fantasy production.
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118.
John Metchie III
HOU
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119.
Skyy Moore
KC
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120.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
NE
|
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121.
Donovan Peoples-Jones
DET
|
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122.
Bo Melton
GB
|
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123.
Jalen Tolbert
DAL
|
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124.
Xavier Hutchinson
HOU
|
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125.
Tre Tucker
LV
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126.
Johnny Wilson
PHI
Johnny Wilson brings a unique blend of size and athleticism to the wide receiver position, standing out with his imposing 6'6" frame. While he faced challenges with a late breakout age and a dip in production in his final collegiate season, his standout performances at Florida State underscore his potential as a red zone threat and contested catch specialist. Wilson's ability to exceed expectations in terms of target rate highlights his impact on the field, despite any statistical fluctuations. The interest from NFL teams in potentially transitioning him to tight end adds another dimension to his potential role at the next level, offering fantasy managers additional flexibility in their roster considerations. Joining the Eagles in the sixth round presents an opportunity for Wilson to further develop and carve out a niche in Philadelphia's offense.
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127.
Jauan Jennings
SF
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128.
Parker Washington
JAC
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129.
Nelson Agholor
BAL
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130.
Charlie Jones
CIN
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131.
Mack Hollins
BUF
Mack Hollins is entering his age 31 season (wait what) and signed with the Buffalo Bills this offseason, presumably to operate as a field-stretcher and downfield blocker. Our new cardio king.
Hollins has only had one productive season in the NFL (2022 with the Raiders as the fantasy WR41) when finished 10th in routes run per dropbacks (93%) and commanded 1,153 air yards as the clear-cut No. 2 wide receiver. The journeyman new landing spot will likely be completely overlooked by fantasy managers, but a WR running a route on 90% or more of Josh Allen's dropbacks (the Gabe Davis role) is pretty tantalizing, especially at a free price tag. Just don't get carried away with Hollins as anything more than a depth fantasy WR4/5 a best. Worth an addition in deeper WR formats. |
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132.
Justin Watson
KC
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133.
Calvin Austin III
PIT
|
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134.
Cedrick Wilson Jr.
NO
|
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135.
Tyquan Thornton
NE
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136.
Mecole Hardman Jr.
KC
|
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137.
Ainias Smith
PHI
Ainias Smith emerged as a versatile playmaker for the Aggies, showcasing his skills both as a receiver and running back. Despite a setback in 2022 due to injury and off-field issues, he rebounded in his final season with impressive receiving yardage and punt return ability. While not the fastest, his dynamic open-field prowess and versatility make him an intriguing prospect, especially for teams like the Philadelphia Eagles, who have shown interest in him during the pre-draft process. If Smith can put his red flags behind him, he has the potential to contribute early on, possibly even cracking the starting lineup in Philadelphia's receiver corps.
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138.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
TEN
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139.
Van Jefferson
PIT
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140.
Jamari Thrash
CLE
Jamari Thrash's college career boasted impressive production, highlighted by his standout seasons at both Georgia State and Louisville. His ability to consistently produce at a high level, even after transferring to a higher level of competition, speaks to his maturity and readiness for the NFL. Thrash's agility and skill in gaining yards after the catch stand out as key strengths, evidenced by his rankings in YAC/reception and broken tackle rate. However, his vertical game and route consistency are areas that may need refinement at the next level. Joining the Browns in the fifth round offers him an opportunity to further develop under NFL coaching while competing for a role in their receiving corps.
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141.
Kalif Raymond
DET
|
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142.
Chase Claypool
BUF
|
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143.
Tim Patrick
DEN
|
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144.
Isaiah Hodgins
NYG
|
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145.
Xavier Gipson
NYJ
|
|
146.
Jamison Crowder
WAS
|
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147.
Chris Moore
ARI
|
|
148.
Braxton Berrios
MIA
|
|
149.
David Bell
CLE
|
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150.
Isaiah McKenzie
NYG
|
|
151.
Terrace Marshall Jr.
CAR
|
|
152.
Kyle Philips
TEN
|
|
153.
Parris Campbell
PHI
|
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154.
Quez Watkins
PIT
|
|
155.
Brandon Powell
MIN
|
|
|
156.
Justyn Ross
KC
|
|
|
157.
Josh Crockett
FA
|
|
|
158.
Jha'Quan Jackson
TEN
|
|
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159.
Tahj Washington
MIA
Tahj Washington caught 13 of his 15 deep targets in 2023 (87%). Perfect passer rating generated on deep targets from Caleb Williams.
Broke out at an early age in 2020 at Memphis while competing for targets with Calvin Austin III, before transferring to USC the last three seasons. 5-foot-10 and 174 pounds, he is definitely on the smaller side of this WR class. Posted his most productive season this past year, with over 1,000 yards and 8 TDs (23% dominator rating). Counting stats were not elite, but he was absurdly efficient. Exceptional route runner, slot player and useful after the catch. Second in the class in both YAC/reception and broken missed tackle per reception. He was drafted by the Dolphins in Round 7. |
|
160.
Laviska Shenault Jr.
SEA
|
|
161.
Lil'Jordan Humphrey
DEN
|
|
162.
Trenton Irwin
CIN
|
|
163.
Allen Robinson II
NYG
|
|
|
164.
Cornelius Johnson
LAC
|
|
165.
Richie James Jr.
KC
|
|
166.
Jalen Guyton
LV
|
|
167.
Olamide Zaccheaus
WAS
|
|
168.
Trent Sherfield
MIN
|
|
|
169.
KaVontae Turpin
DAL
|
|
170.
Kayshon Boutte
NE
|
|
171.
Brandon Johnson
DEN
|
|
172.
Malik Heath
GB
|
|
173.
Deonte Harty
BAL
|
|
174.
Dyami Brown
WAS
|
|
175.
Derius Davis
LAC
|
|
176.
Jake Bobo
SEA
|
|
177.
Sterling Shepard
NYG
|
|
|
178.
Marcus Rosemy-Jacksaint
WAS
|
|
179.
Devin Duvernay
JAC
|
|
180.
Marvin Jones Jr.
FA
|
|
|
181.
Isaiah Williams
FA
|
|
|
182.
Xavier Weaver
ARI
|
|
183.
KhaDarel Hodge
ATL
|
|
184.
River Cracraft
MIA
|
|
185.
Deven Thompkins
TB
|
|
186.
Jamal Agnew
JAC
|
|
|
187.
Bub Means
NO
|
|
|
188.
Isaiah Williams
DET
|
|
189.
Julio Jones
PHI
|
|
|
190.
Jaxon Janke
HOU
|
|
191.
Jason Brownlee
NYJ
|
|
192.
Alex Erickson
LAC
|
|
193.
Samori Toure
GB
|
|
|
194.
Anthony Gould
IND
|
|
195.
David Moore
CAR
|
|
196.
Tre'Quan Smith
DET
|
|
|
197.
Rakim Jarrett
TB
|
|
198.
Equanimeous St. Brown
NO
|
|
199.
Erik Ezukanma
MIA
|
|
|
200.
Ryan Flournoy
DAL
|
|
201.
Ronnie Bell
SF
|
|
202.
Byron Pringle
WAS
|
|
203.
Justin Shorter
BUF
|
|
204.
Ihmir Smith-Marsette
CAR
|
|
205.
Ray-Ray McCloud III
ATL
|
|
206.
Keith Kirkwood
NO
|
|
207.
Lynn Bowden Jr.
NO
|
|
|
208.
J. Michael Sturdivant
FA
|
|
209.
Scott Miller
PIT
|
|
210.
Robbie Chosen
MIA
|
|
211.
Trishton Jackson
MIN
|
|
212.
Simi Fehoko
LAC
|
|
213.
Jalen Reagor
NE
|
|
214.
Martavis Bryant
FA
|
|
215.
Russell Gage
FA
|
|
216.
Quintez Cephus
BUF
|
|
|
217.
Jordan Whittington
LAR
|
|
218.
Mike Strachan
CAR
|
|
219.
Ben Skowronek
FA
|
|
220.
Reggie Begelton
FA
|
|
221.
KJ Hamler
BUF
|
|
222.
Tyre Brady
FA
|
|
|
223.
De'Corian Clark
FA
|
|
224.
Velus Jones Jr.
CHI
|
|
225.
Jarvis Landry
FA
|
|
226.
Jalen Nailor
MIN
|
|
227.
Marquise Goodwin
CLE
|
|
228.
DeAndre Carter
LV
|
|
229.
D.J. Montgomery
IND
|
|
230.
Randall Cobb
NYJ
|
|
|
231.
Jalen Brooks
DAL
|
|
232.
Miles Boykin
NYG
|
|
233.
Malik Taylor
NYJ
|
|
234.
Steven Sims Jr.
HOU
|
|
235.
Elijah Cooks
JAC
|
|
236.
Keelan Doss
LAC
|
|
237.
Austin Trammell
LAR
|
|
238.
Zach Pascal
ARI
|
|
239.
Tim Jones
JAC
|
|
240.
Cody Thompson
SEA
|
|
241.
Kwamie Lassiter II
CIN
|
|
242.
Mason Kinsey
TEN
|
|
243.
Colton Dowell
TEN
|
|
244.
Gunner Olszewski
NYG
|
|
245.
Shedrick Jackson
CIN
|
|
246.
Phillip Dorsett II
DEN
|
|
247.
Trent Taylor
SF
|
|
248.
Antoine Green
DET
|
|
249.
Dee Eskridge
SEA
|
|
250.
Juwann Winfree
IND
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