Josh Allen Week 1 Outlook - Bills at Jets

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Sun, Sep 10th 2023, 12:05pm EDT

Allen might not be completely matchup-proof, but he's certainly matchup-resistant. Allen can hurt defenses with his arm and his legs, so he has "outs," as they say in poker - Allen has more than one possible path to success. That said, this is a rough matchup. The Jets' pass defense ranked sixth in DVOA last year and allowed the ninth-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. In two games against the Jets last season, Allen completed 34-of-61 passes (55.7%) for 352 yards (5.8 YPA), with one touchdown and two interceptions. Yuck. However, Allen found an "out" in those two games against the Jets, rushing for 133 yards and three touchdowns. The concern is that if Allen doesn't produce good rushing numbers, he probably won't give his investors many fantasy points, because it's hard to imagine anyone torching the Jets for 300-plus yards and three TD passes. You're starting Allen, of course, but he's more of a midrange QB1 this week than a slam-dunk top-three QB option.