Fantasy Football Insights

As our consensus #16 QB, Trevor Lawrence is a reasonable starter, but not one worth spending an early draft pick on. Lawrence is expected to earn 19% of his projected 283 fantasy points by rushing. While rushing is in his toolbox, it's not enough to significantly help his floor. Projected for 12.7 interceptions compared to 24.2 passing TDs, Lawrence doesn't carry much interception risk.

As our consensus #17 QB, Kirk Cousins isn't really relevant in 1QB leagues. That rank makes him a fantasy starter in 2QB leagues, even if he's not an exciting one.Cousins is expected to earn 8% of his projected 273 fantasy points by rushing. He's a more traditional passing QB. With a projected toughdown-to-interception ratio of 3.0, he isn't not likely to melt down often.

Projected to touch the ball 1.6 times per game (0.4 rushes and 1.2 receptions), Kyle Juszczyk is not worth spending a draft pick on. He's behind both Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell on the running back chart for the 49ers.

Projected to touch the ball 3.4 times per game (2.2 rushes and 1.2 receptions), Ameer Abdullah isn't someone you can really use in fantasy. He's behind both Zamir White and Alexander Mattison on the running back chart for the Raiders.

Projected to carry the ball 0.0 times and catch 0.0 passes per game, Michael Wiley isn't someone you need to draft. He has some competition on Washington's depth chart, where he trails both Brian Robinson Jr. and Austin Ekeler.

Tank Dell is the WR3 for the Texans, behind Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs. At #26 in our WR rankings, you'll be able to depend on him each week. He is projected for 990 yards and 8.9 TDs on 71.0 receptions, which is 22.0% of the total for WRs on the Texans. Houston has the 7th-worst wide receiver schedule. Dell is a fair value at his ADP of 64 as the consensus #49 overall player.

The market has Jermaine Burton correctly valued at an ADP of 217, compared to an overall ECR of 211. Burton is the third best WR on the Bengals, trailing Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. Ranked #79 in our consensus wide receiver rankings, he won't usually be a fantasy starter. He's projected to catch 46.8 receptions for 609 yards and 3.8 TDs, which is 17.2% of the total for Bengals WRs. Cincinnati has the 20th-best wide receiver schedule.

Darius Slayton is worth drafting at his ADP of 258 as the consensus #214 overall player. Slayton might see limited usage as the 4th-ranked WR on the Giants. As the consensus #80 WR, he's only relevant in deep leagues. He's projected to catch 40.7 receptions for 602 yards and 3.5 TDs, which is 18.7% of the workload for WRs on the Giants. New York has the 11th-best wide receiver schedule.

Tyler Boyd might see limited usage as the 4th-ranked WR on the Titans. At #90 in our WR rankings, he's probably best left for the waiver wire. He is projected for 516 yards and 2.0 TDs on 43.0 receptions, for 21.4% of the workload for Titans WRs. The Titans have the 10th-best wide receiver schedule. Boyd is correctly valued at his ADP of 206 as the consensus #250 overall player.

Darren Waller is projected to catch a solid 60.5 receptions for 668 yards and 2.8 touchdowns. As the consensus #31, Waller is not someone you want to start in fantasy. Waller is a fair value at his ADP of 193 as the consensus #247 overall player. New York has the 5th-worst schedule for TEs.

Samaje Perine isn't a great value at his ADP of 213, with an ECR of 275. Consider drafting Dameon Pierce (ADP 236, ECR 183) or D'Onta Foreman (ADP 219, ECR 223) instead. With 6.3 projected touches per game (4.2 rushes and 2.1 catches), Perine has limited potential. He has some competition on Denver's depth chart, where he trails both Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin. The Broncos have the 2nd-best running back schedule.

Kadarius Toney might see limited usage as the 4th-ranked WR on the Chiefs. Ranked #108 in our consensus wide receiver rankings, he won't be worth owning in most fantasy leagues. He is projected to catch 5.6 receptions for 55 yards and 0.5 TDs, which is 2.7% of the workload for Chiefs WRs. Kansas City has the 8th-worst schedule for WRs. The market has Toney correctly valued at an ADP of 298, compared to an overall ECR of 291.

As the consensus #354 overall player, Jalen Tolbert is a reasonable pick at his ADP of 299. Tolbert is the #3 wide receiver on the Cowboys, behind CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks. At #123 in our WR rankings, he won't be worth owning in most fantasy leagues. He's projected to catch 43.2 receptions for 573 yards and 3.5 TDs, which is 17.0% of the workload for Cowboys WRs. Dallas has the 3rd-best schedule for wide receivers.

Melton is not a focus of the the Packers' offense as their WR5. As the consensus #125 WR, he's not worth a draft pick in most leagues. He's projected to catch 9.8 receptions for 114 yards and 0.8 TDs, which is 4.6% of the workload for WRs on the Packers. Green Bay has the best wide receiver schedule.

Dortch is not a focus of the the Cardinals' offense as their WR4. At #117 in our WR rankings, he's not a real fantasy asset. Dortch is projected for 325 yards and 2.4 TDs on 30.2 receptions, which is 14.2% of the workload for Cardinals WRs. Arizona has the 7th-best wide receiver schedule.

As our consensus #14 QB, Caleb Williams is a reasonable starter, but not one worth spending an early draft pick on. Williams is expected to earn 19% of his projected 291 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it's not a major source of his fantasy value. With a projected toughdown-to-interception ratio of 1.9, he isn't not likely to melt down often.

At QB23, Geno Smith isn't worth owning in 1QB leagues. In 2QB leagues, he's a low-end starter. Smith is projected to earn 30.9 of his 255 fantasy points by rushing. While not insignificant, it isn't really key to his fantasy value. With a projection of 12.0 interceptions compared to 24.0 passing touchdowns, Smith isn't not likely to melt down often.

Jahmyr Gibbs is a fair value at his ADP of 12 as the consensus #13 overall player. With a projection of 11.4 carries and 3.6 catches per game, Gibbs will often be a fantasy starter, even if he's not an exciting one. He leads David Montgomery and Craig Reynolds on the Lions' depth chart. Detroit has the 19th-best running back schedule.

Drafting Amari Cooper is an easy choice at his ADP of 50, compared to an ECR of 37. Cooper is the top dog among wide receivers on the Browns, ahead of Jerry Jeudy and Elijah Moore. At #20 in our WR rankings, he's an every week starter. He's projected to catch 71.7 receptions for 1,119 yards and 6.2 TDs, which is 36.5% of the total for Browns WRs. The Browns have the 4th-best schedule for wide receivers.

Picking Elijah Moore at his ADP of 249 should be an easy decision, compared to an ECR of 189. Moore is the WR3 for the Browns, trailing Amari Cooper and Jerry Jeudy. At #72 in our WR rankings, he won't usually be a fantasy starter. He's projected for 547 yards and 2.8 TDs on 44.7 receptions, for 22.8% of the workload for WRs on the Browns. The Browns have the 4th-best wide receiver schedule.